BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Duke 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Duke 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.64 |
31.20 (-0.43) |
26.45 |
30.84 (+4.38) |
30.84 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
421.27 |
424.24 (+2.96) |
334.18 |
360.48 (+26.30) |
360.48 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.13 |
6.27 (+0.14) |
5.53 |
5.97 (+0.44) |
5.97 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
23.09 |
25.16 (+2.07) |
20.91 |
17.56 (-3.35) |
17.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
385.91 |
391.74 (+5.83) |
367.27 |
365.14 (-2.13) |
365.14 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.57 |
5.73 (+0.16) |
5.24 |
5.04 (-0.20) |
5.04 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-05 |
Clemson |
21.79 |
20.99 |
-0.80 |
42.78 |
51.29% |
W 28-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Lafayette |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-7 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Northwestern |
31.43 |
19.06 |
-12.37 |
50.48 |
69.84% |
W 38-14 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Connecticut |
37.77 |
8.29 |
-29.48 |
46.07 |
97.28% |
W 41-7 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Notre Dame |
22.40 |
30.96 |
+8.56 |
53.35 |
36.27% |
L 14-21 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-15 |
NC State |
24.78 |
19.11 |
-5.67 |
43.89 |
59.09% |
W 24-3 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Florida State |
16.95 |
30.76 |
+13.81 |
47.71 |
27.85% |
L 20-38 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Louisville |
21.31 |
25.56 |
+4.24 |
46.87 |
43.19% |
L 0-23 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-02 |
Wake Forest |
32.88 |
14.01 |
-18.87 |
46.89 |
80.27% |
W 24-21 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@North Carolina |
31.89 |
29.83 |
-2.06 |
61.73 |
53.30% |
L 45-47 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Virginia |
34.71 |
20.92 |
-13.79 |
55.63 |
72.12% |
L 27-30 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Pittsburgh |
32.02 |
12.78 |
-19.24 |
44.79 |
80.86% |
W 30-19 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.01% |
| 3-9 |
0.16% |
| 4-8 |
1.26% |
| 5-7 |
5.21% |
| 6-6 |
13.62% |
| 7-5 |
23.64% |
| 8-4 |
26.43% |
| 9-3 |
18.91% |
| 10-2 |
8.42% |
| 11-1 |
2.12% |
| 12-0 |
0.22% |