BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
UMass 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
UMass 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
11.82 |
6.24 (-5.58) |
22.45 |
21.74 (-0.72) |
21.74 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
267.55 |
234.85 (-32.70) |
344.09 |
331.03 (-13.06) |
331.03 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
3.98 |
3.51 (-0.47) |
5.68 |
5.37 (-0.32) |
5.37 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.64 |
39.71 (+6.08) |
39.36 |
45.37 (+6.01) |
45.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
373.45 |
433.25 (+59.79) |
431.09 |
492.68 (+61.59) |
492.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.16 |
7.03 (+0.86) |
7.23 |
7.72 (+0.49) |
7.72 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-26 |
@New Mexico State |
19.23 |
36.76 |
+17.53 |
55.99 |
21.88% |
W 41-30 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-02 |
@Auburn |
12.58 |
49.28 |
+36.70 |
61.85 |
0.10% |
L 14-59 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Miami (OH) |
20.93 |
31.74 |
+10.82 |
52.67 |
32.65% |
L 28-41 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Eastern Michigan |
27.52 |
22.45 |
-5.07 |
49.98 |
58.13% |
L 17-19 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-23 |
New Mexico |
35.75 |
37.43 |
+1.68 |
73.18 |
47.30% |
L 31-34 |
1-4 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Arkansas State |
31.41 |
38.91 |
+7.50 |
70.32 |
37.97% |
L 28-52 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Toledo |
26.59 |
44.21 |
+17.62 |
70.80 |
21.75% |
L 24-41 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Penn State |
5.41 |
66.23 |
+60.82 |
71.64 |
0.10% |
L 0-63 |
1-7 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Army |
21.40 |
29.97 |
+8.57 |
51.37 |
36.26% |
W 21-14 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Merrimack |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-21 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Liberty |
23.75 |
59.23 |
+35.48 |
82.97 |
0.10% |
L 25-49 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Connecticut |
29.57 |
26.32 |
-3.25 |
55.89 |
55.22% |
L 18-31 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
1.51% |
| 2-10 |
9.22% |
| 3-9 |
22.44% |
| 4-8 |
29.32% |
| 5-7 |
22.79% |
| 6-6 |
10.98% |
| 7-5 |
3.21% |
| 8-4 |
0.48% |
| 9-3 |
0.03% |