BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

UMass 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

UMass 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 11.82 6.24 (-5.58) 22.45 21.74 (-0.72) 21.74 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 267.55 234.85 (-32.70) 344.09 331.03 (-13.06) 331.03 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 3.98 3.51 (-0.47) 5.68 5.37 (-0.32) 5.37 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 33.64 39.71 (+6.08) 39.36 45.37 (+6.01) 45.37 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 373.45 433.25 (+59.79) 431.09 492.68 (+61.59) 492.68 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.16 7.03 (+0.86) 7.23 7.72 (+0.49) 7.72 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-08-26 @New Mexico State 19.23 36.76 +17.53 55.99 21.88% W 41-30 1-0
2023-09-02 @Auburn 12.58 49.28 +36.70 61.85 0.10% L 14-59 1-1
2023-09-09 Miami (OH) 20.93 31.74 +10.82 52.67 32.65% L 28-41 1-2
2023-09-16 @Eastern Michigan 27.52 22.45 -5.07 49.98 58.13% L 17-19 1-3
2023-09-23 New Mexico 35.75 37.43 +1.68 73.18 47.30% L 31-34 1-4
2023-09-30 Arkansas State 31.41 38.91 +7.50 70.32 37.97% L 28-52 1-5
2023-10-07 Toledo 26.59 44.21 +17.62 70.80 21.75% L 24-41 1-6
2023-10-14 @Penn State 5.41 66.23 +60.82 71.64 0.10% L 0-63 1-7
2023-10-28 @Army 21.40 29.97 +8.57 51.37 36.26% W 21-14 2-7
2023-11-04 Merrimack Non-FBS Opponent W 31-21 3-7
2023-11-18 @Liberty 23.75 59.23 +35.48 82.97 0.10% L 25-49 3-8
2023-11-25 Connecticut 29.57 26.32 -3.25 55.89 55.22% L 18-31 3-9

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
3-9 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 1.51%
2-10 9.22%
3-9 22.44%
4-8 29.32%
5-7 22.79%
6-6 10.98%
7-5 3.21%
8-4 0.48%
9-3 0.03%