BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
East Carolina 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
East Carolina 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.18 |
29.77 (+0.58) |
14.91 |
12.66 (-2.24) |
12.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
448.73 |
451.66 (+2.94) |
264.45 |
255.92 (-8.54) |
255.92 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.41 |
6.35 (-0.07) |
4.23 |
3.87 (-0.36) |
3.87 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.55 |
28.94 (+0.40) |
24.45 |
27.14 (+2.68) |
27.14 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
411.64 |
420.98 (+9.34) |
359.00 |
392.49 (+33.49) |
392.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.24 |
6.35 (+0.12) |
5.56 |
5.98 (+0.42) |
5.98 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Michigan |
1.08 |
46.56 |
+45.48 |
47.64 |
0.10% |
L 3-30 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Marshall |
18.21 |
22.16 |
+3.95 |
40.37 |
43.67% |
L 13-31 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Appalachian State |
15.72 |
33.48 |
+17.76 |
49.20 |
21.52% |
L 28-43 |
0-3 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Gardner-Webb |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 44-0 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Rice |
17.27 |
28.56 |
+11.29 |
45.84 |
31.89% |
L 17-24 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-12 |
SMU |
11.82 |
35.10 |
+23.28 |
46.92 |
12.66% |
L 10-31 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Charlotte |
20.00 |
12.22 |
-7.78 |
32.21 |
62.48% |
L 7-10 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@UT San Antonio |
14.18 |
28.18 |
+14.01 |
42.36 |
27.54% |
L 27-41 |
1-7 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Tulane |
11.11 |
20.60 |
+9.49 |
31.71 |
34.79% |
L 10-13 |
1-8 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Florida Atlantic |
15.71 |
20.13 |
+4.42 |
35.84 |
42.92% |
W 22-7 |
2-8 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Navy |
12.71 |
13.80 |
+1.09 |
26.51 |
48.26% |
L 0-10 |
2-9 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Tulsa |
23.93 |
19.22 |
-4.70 |
43.15 |
57.54% |
L 27-29 |
2-10 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.61% |
| 2-10 |
4.29% |
| 3-9 |
13.27% |
| 4-8 |
23.60% |
| 5-7 |
26.35% |
| 6-6 |
19.32% |
| 7-5 |
9.17% |
| 8-4 |
2.80% |
| 9-3 |
0.54% |
| 10-2 |
0.06% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |