BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
SMU 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
SMU 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
37.82 |
39.24 (+1.42) |
39.36 |
34.40 (-4.96) |
34.40 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
482.27 |
488.37 (+6.10) |
462.00 |
423.72 (-38.28) |
423.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.41 |
6.48 (+0.06) |
6.55 |
5.89 (-0.66) |
5.89 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
36.36 |
33.47 (-2.89) |
19.27 |
22.10 (+2.83) |
22.10 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
463.64 |
446.93 (-16.70) |
311.18 |
325.34 (+14.16) |
325.34 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.48 |
6.27 (-0.21) |
4.61 |
4.96 (+0.35) |
4.96 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Louisiana Tech |
51.27 |
16.26 |
-35.01 |
67.53 |
99.90% |
W 38-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Oklahoma |
24.50 |
43.33 |
+18.83 |
67.83 |
19.81% |
L 11-28 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Prairie View |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 69-0 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@TCU |
30.20 |
31.56 |
+1.36 |
61.76 |
47.82% |
L 17-34 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Charlotte |
45.53 |
9.04 |
-36.49 |
54.57 |
99.90% |
W 34-16 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-12 |
@East Carolina |
35.10 |
11.82 |
-23.28 |
46.92 |
87.34% |
W 31-10 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-20 |
@Temple |
50.74 |
12.49 |
-38.25 |
63.22 |
99.90% |
W 55-0 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Tulsa |
51.95 |
15.10 |
-36.86 |
67.05 |
99.90% |
W 69-10 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Rice |
41.88 |
23.62 |
-18.26 |
65.50 |
79.29% |
W 36-31 |
7-2 |
| 2023-11-11 |
North Texas |
55.16 |
22.88 |
-32.28 |
78.04 |
99.90% |
W 45-21 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Memphis |
43.24 |
31.22 |
-12.01 |
74.46 |
69.27% |
W 38-34 |
9-2 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Navy |
38.02 |
7.99 |
-30.03 |
46.01 |
98.16% |
W 59-14 |
10-2 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-2 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 7-5 |
0.44% |
| 8-4 |
5.18% |
| 9-3 |
22.86% |
| 10-2 |
40.61% |
| 11-1 |
26.47% |
| 12-0 |
4.45% |