BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Illinois 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Illinois 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 24.91 30.16 (+5.25) 24.50 28.76 (+4.26) 28.76 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 376.64 409.22 (+32.58) 387.50 407.77 (+20.27) 407.77 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.14 5.65 (+0.51) 5.83 6.38 (+0.55) 6.38 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 13.36 12.20 (-1.16) 29.42 29.32 (-0.10) 29.32 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 274.91 271.37 (-3.54) 378.42 410.45 (+32.04) 410.45 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 4.36 4.20 (-0.16) 5.34 5.45 (+0.11) 5.45 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.3

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Toledo 34.30 29.02 -5.28 63.32 58.47% W 30-28 1-0
2023-09-08 @Kansas 23.34 41.96 +18.62 65.30 20.14% L 23-34 1-1
2023-09-16 Penn State 11.35 42.26 +30.91 53.62 0.42% L 13-30 1-2
2023-09-23 Florida Atlantic 35.64 19.51 -16.14 55.15 75.88% W 23-17 2-2
2023-09-30 @Purdue 32.63 34.19 +1.56 66.82 47.49% L 19-44 2-3
2023-10-07 Nebraska 21.04 21.53 +0.49 42.56 49.22% L 7-20 2-4
2023-10-14 @Maryland 25.59 40.40 +14.81 65.99 26.25% W 27-24 3-4
2023-10-21 Wisconsin 22.76 27.93 +5.16 50.69 41.72% L 21-25 3-5
2023-11-04 @Minnesota 28.50 29.47 +0.97 57.96 48.45% W 27-26 4-5
2023-11-11 Indiana 34.13 28.29 -5.84 62.41 59.37% W 48-45 5-5
2023-11-18 @Iowa 11.66 22.72 +11.06 34.38 32.26% L 13-15 5-6
2023-11-25 Northwestern 28.51 30.29 +1.78 58.80 47.14% L 43-45 5-7

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
5-7 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.07%
1-11 0.80%
2-10 3.87%
3-9 10.97%
4-8 20.31%
5-7 24.89%
6-6 20.89%
7-5 12.18%
8-4 4.69%
9-3 1.17%
10-2 0.16%
11-1 0.01%

Post-Season Analysis

Big 10 Post-Season Analysis