BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Illinois 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Illinois 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.91 |
30.16 (+5.25) |
24.50 |
28.76 (+4.26) |
28.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
376.64 |
409.22 (+32.58) |
387.50 |
407.77 (+20.27) |
407.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.14 |
5.65 (+0.51) |
5.83 |
6.38 (+0.55) |
6.38 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
13.36 |
12.20 (-1.16) |
29.42 |
29.32 (-0.10) |
29.32 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
274.91 |
271.37 (-3.54) |
378.42 |
410.45 (+32.04) |
410.45 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.36 |
4.20 (-0.16) |
5.34 |
5.45 (+0.11) |
5.45 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Toledo |
34.30 |
29.02 |
-5.28 |
63.32 |
58.47% |
W 30-28 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-08 |
@Kansas |
23.34 |
41.96 |
+18.62 |
65.30 |
20.14% |
L 23-34 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Penn State |
11.35 |
42.26 |
+30.91 |
53.62 |
0.42% |
L 13-30 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Florida Atlantic |
35.64 |
19.51 |
-16.14 |
55.15 |
75.88% |
W 23-17 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Purdue |
32.63 |
34.19 |
+1.56 |
66.82 |
47.49% |
L 19-44 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Nebraska |
21.04 |
21.53 |
+0.49 |
42.56 |
49.22% |
L 7-20 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Maryland |
25.59 |
40.40 |
+14.81 |
65.99 |
26.25% |
W 27-24 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Wisconsin |
22.76 |
27.93 |
+5.16 |
50.69 |
41.72% |
L 21-25 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Minnesota |
28.50 |
29.47 |
+0.97 |
57.96 |
48.45% |
W 27-26 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Indiana |
34.13 |
28.29 |
-5.84 |
62.41 |
59.37% |
W 48-45 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Iowa |
11.66 |
22.72 |
+11.06 |
34.38 |
32.26% |
L 13-15 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Northwestern |
28.51 |
30.29 |
+1.78 |
58.80 |
47.14% |
L 43-45 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.07% |
| 1-11 |
0.80% |
| 2-10 |
3.87% |
| 3-9 |
10.97% |
| 4-8 |
20.31% |
| 5-7 |
24.89% |
| 6-6 |
20.89% |
| 7-5 |
12.18% |
| 8-4 |
4.69% |
| 9-3 |
1.17% |
| 10-2 |
0.16% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |
Post-Season Analysis
Big 10 Post-Season Analysis