BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Northwestern 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Northwestern 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
12.82 |
19.62 (+6.80) |
22.73 |
28.15 (+5.42) |
28.15 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
331.36 |
381.88 (+50.52) |
304.45 |
323.71 (+19.25) |
323.71 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.51 |
5.13 (+0.62) |
4.73 |
5.29 (+0.56) |
5.29 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.09 |
24.20 (-3.89) |
24.18 |
24.29 (+0.11) |
24.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
376.36 |
356.37 (-20.00) |
348.64 |
379.72 (+31.08) |
379.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.64 |
5.26 (-0.37) |
5.35 |
5.47 (+0.13) |
5.47 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-03 |
@Rutgers |
21.25 |
25.60 |
+4.35 |
46.86 |
43.02% |
L 7-24 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
UTEP |
35.39 |
13.29 |
-22.10 |
48.68 |
85.45% |
W 38-7 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Duke |
19.06 |
31.43 |
+12.37 |
50.48 |
30.16% |
L 14-38 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Minnesota |
30.20 |
22.05 |
-8.15 |
52.25 |
63.07% |
W 37-34 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Penn State |
11.19 |
37.07 |
+25.88 |
48.27 |
8.49% |
L 13-41 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Howard |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 23-20 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Nebraska |
18.20 |
18.49 |
+0.29 |
36.68 |
49.54% |
L 9-17 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Maryland |
26.48 |
32.06 |
+5.58 |
58.54 |
41.04% |
W 33-27 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Iowa |
13.67 |
16.79 |
+3.12 |
30.46 |
45.00% |
L 7-10 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Wisconsin |
20.61 |
25.35 |
+4.74 |
45.96 |
42.39% |
W 24-10 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Purdue |
33.49 |
27.66 |
-5.82 |
61.15 |
59.34% |
W 23-15 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Illinois |
30.29 |
28.51 |
-1.78 |
58.80 |
52.86% |
W 45-43 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.02% |
| 2-10 |
0.55% |
| 3-9 |
3.07% |
| 4-8 |
9.66% |
| 5-7 |
19.37% |
| 6-6 |
25.18% |
| 7-5 |
22.21% |
| 8-4 |
13.44% |
| 9-3 |
5.14% |
| 10-2 |
1.21% |
| 11-1 |
0.15% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |
Post-Season Analysis
Big 10 Post-Season Analysis