BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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       Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
	Jacksonville State 2023 Season Summary
	National Average Data
	
	  
		
		   | Category | 2022 Raw | 2023 Raw | 2023 Blended (Δ) | 
	  
	  
		
		   | Points Per Game (PPG) | 27.17 | 26.70 | 26.70 (+0.00) | 
	    
		  | Yards Per Game (YPG) | 386.24 | 379.93 | 379.93 (+0.00) | 
		
		  | Yards Per Play (YPP) | 5.64 | 5.70 | 5.70 (+0.00) | 
	  
	
	Jacksonville State 2023 - Unit Statistics
	Offense
	
	  
		| Category | 2022 Raw | 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2023 Raw | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2023 Blended (Δ) | 
|---|
	  
	  
		
			| Points Scored per Game (PPG): | 0.00 | 0.00 (+0.00) | 28.09 | 23.57 (-4.52) | 23.57 (+0.00) | 
        
            | Yards Gained per Game (YPG): | 0.00 | 0.00 (+0.00) | 397.91 | 349.73 (-48.18) | 349.73 (+0.00) | 
        
            | Yards Gained per Play (YPP): | 0.00 | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5.53 | 5.10 (-0.43) | 5.10 (+0.00) | 
	  
	
    Defense
	
	  
        | Category | 2022 Raw | 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2023 Raw | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2023 Blended (Δ) | 
|---|
	  
	  
	    
            | Points Yielded per Game (PPG): | 0.00 | 0.00 (+0.00) | 21.91 | 27.75 (+5.84) | 27.75 (+0.00) | 
        
            | Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): | 0.00 | 0.00 (+0.00) | 371.00 | 415.97 (+44.97) | 415.97 (+0.00) | 
        
            | Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): | 0.00 | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4.94 | 5.19 (+0.25) | 5.19 (+0.00) | 
	  
    
	Intangibles
	 
      
        
		    | Category | Measure(s) | 
      
      
        
		    | Home Field Advantage | +0.0 | 
      
    
	Schedule Analysis
	
	  
	    
	  	  | Date | Opponent | BizMa Points For | BizMa Points Against | BizMa Spread | BizMa O/U | BizMa Win % | Real Outcome | Team Record | 
	  
	  
      	
        	| 2023-08-26 | UTEP | 28.37 | 16.77 | -11.61 | 45.14 | 68.61% | W 17-14 | 1-0 | 
	  
         | 2023-09-02 | East Tennessee State | Non-FBS Opponent | W 49-3 | 2-0 | 
      	
        	| 2023-09-09 | @Coastal Carolina | 25.83 | 25.34 | -0.48 | 51.17 | 50.78% | L 16-30 | 2-1 | 
      	
        	| 2023-09-23 | Eastern Michigan | 29.93 | 10.02 | -19.91 | 39.95 | 81.94% | W 21-0 | 3-1 | 
      	
        	| 2023-09-29 | @Sam Houston State | 27.46 | 15.76 | -11.70 | 43.22 | 68.77% | W 35-28 | 4-1 | 
      	
        	| 2023-10-05 | @Middle Tennessee | 28.39 | 25.73 | -2.66 | 54.12 | 54.26% | W 45-30 | 5-1 | 
      	
        	| 2023-10-10 | Liberty | 26.72 | 38.42 | +11.70 | 65.14 | 31.24% | L 13-31 | 5-2 | 
      	
        	| 2023-10-17 | Western Kentucky | 28.80 | 26.44 | -2.35 | 55.24 | 53.78% | W 20-17 | 6-2 | 
      	
        	| 2023-10-25 | @Florida International | 34.94 | 17.26 | -17.67 | 52.20 | 78.35% | W 41-16 | 7-2 | 
      	
        	| 2023-11-04 | @South Carolina | 18.36 | 31.94 | +13.58 | 50.29 | 28.22% | L 28-38 | 7-3 | 
      	
        	| 2023-11-18 | Louisiana Tech | 35.12 | 21.44 | -13.68 | 56.56 | 71.94% | W 56-17 | 8-3 | 
      	
        	| 2023-11-25 | @New Mexico State | 22.63 | 24.45 | +1.83 | 47.08 | 47.07% | L 17-20 | 8-4 | 
| Postseason | 
|---|
      	
        	| 2023-12-16 | @Louisiana | 31.28 | 30.28 | -1.00 | 61.56 | 51.61% | W 34-31 | 9-4 | 
	  
	
	Season Analysis
	
	  
	    
	      | Record | Probability | Ceiling | Floor | 
	  
	  
	    
	      | 9-4 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% | 
      
    
	Expected Wins Analysis
    
      
        
          | Record | Probability | 
      
      
        
          | 1-12 | 0.00% | 
        
          | 2-11 | 0.03% | 
        
          | 3-10 | 0.26% | 
        
          | 4-9 | 1.51% | 
        
          | 5-8 | 5.36% | 
        
          | 6-7 | 12.55% | 
        
          | 7-6 | 20.91% | 
        
          | 8-5 | 24.21% | 
        
          | 9-4 | 19.82% | 
        
          | 10-3 | 10.68% | 
        
          | 11-2 | 3.78% | 
        
          | 12-1 | 0.81% | 
        
          | 13-0 | 0.07% |