BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Louisiana 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Louisiana 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.27 |
23.80 (-3.47) |
31.73 |
25.98 (-5.75) |
25.98 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
366.82 |
349.53 (-17.29) |
395.36 |
369.39 (-25.97) |
369.39 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.22 |
4.91 (-0.31) |
6.34 |
5.96 (-0.38) |
5.96 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.27 |
29.34 (+5.07) |
29.55 |
35.34 (+5.79) |
35.34 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
371.27 |
408.38 (+37.11) |
388.18 |
429.06 (+40.88) |
429.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.37 |
5.84 (+0.47) |
5.51 |
6.04 (+0.54) |
6.04 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Northwestern State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-13 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Old Dominion |
27.85 |
28.96 |
+1.11 |
56.81 |
48.23% |
L 31-38 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@UAB |
42.67 |
36.12 |
-6.55 |
78.79 |
60.51% |
W 41-21 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Buffalo |
35.91 |
20.18 |
-15.73 |
56.09 |
75.22% |
W 45-38 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Minnesota |
25.76 |
35.25 |
+9.49 |
61.02 |
34.78% |
L 24-35 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Texas State |
41.47 |
36.10 |
-5.37 |
77.57 |
58.61% |
W 34-30 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-22 |
Georgia State |
33.90 |
28.97 |
-4.93 |
62.87 |
57.91% |
L 17-20 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@South Alabama |
24.73 |
37.61 |
+12.88 |
62.33 |
29.34% |
W 33-20 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Arkansas State |
34.24 |
32.63 |
-1.62 |
66.87 |
52.59% |
L 17-37 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-10 |
Southern Mississippi |
42.77 |
27.45 |
-15.32 |
70.22 |
74.57% |
L 31-34 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Troy |
15.45 |
33.14 |
+17.68 |
48.59 |
21.64% |
L 24-31 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Louisiana Monroe |
40.24 |
19.49 |
-20.75 |
59.73 |
83.29% |
W 52-21 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.11% |
| 3-9 |
0.95% |
| 4-8 |
4.15% |
| 5-7 |
11.50% |
| 6-6 |
21.15% |
| 7-5 |
25.55% |
| 8-4 |
20.91% |
| 9-3 |
11.21% |
| 10-2 |
3.72% |
| 11-1 |
0.69% |
| 12-0 |
0.07% |