BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Liberty 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Liberty 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 28.91 24.81 (-4.10) 40.08 34.89 (-5.19) 34.89 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 408.00 378.51 (-29.49) 495.58 455.15 (-40.43) 455.15 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.70 5.29 (-0.42) 7.22 6.89 (-0.33) 6.89 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 25.36 32.20 (+6.84) 21.67 28.99 (+7.32) 28.99 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 346.82 392.99 (+46.17) 339.83 404.06 (+64.23) 404.06 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.17 5.64 (+0.47) 5.39 6.06 (+0.67) 6.06 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.5

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Bowling Green 41.84 23.51 -18.33 65.35 79.39% W 34-24 1-0
2023-09-09 New Mexico State 35.20 20.25 -14.96 55.45 73.99% W 33-17 2-0
2023-09-16 @Buffalo 43.10 19.63 -23.48 62.73 87.65% W 55-27 3-0
2023-09-23 @Florida International 49.49 18.40 -31.09 67.89 99.87% W 38-6 4-0
2023-10-05 Sam Houston State 43.30 16.89 -26.41 60.19 92.36% W 21-16 5-0
2023-10-10 @Jacksonville State 36.76 25.83 -10.92 62.59 67.52% W 31-13 6-0
2023-10-17 Middle Tennessee 45.40 22.91 -22.50 68.31 86.08% W 42-35 7-0
2023-10-24 @Western Kentucky 42.30 30.77 -11.52 73.07 68.48% W 42-29 8-0
2023-11-04 Louisiana Tech 52.83 21.94 -30.90 74.77 99.55% W 56-30 9-0
2023-11-11 Old Dominion 40.59 21.62 -18.97 62.22 80.43% W 38-10 10-0
2023-11-18 UMass 59.23 23.75 -35.48 82.97 99.90% W 49-25 11-0
2023-11-25 @UTEP 40.82 19.18 -21.63 60.00 84.70% W 42-28 12-0

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
12-0 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
4-8 0.00%
5-7 0.02%
6-6 0.23%
7-5 1.52%
8-4 6.28%
9-3 17.83%
10-2 30.88%
11-1 30.44%
12-0 12.81%