BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Liberty 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Liberty 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.91 |
24.81 (-4.10) |
40.08 |
34.89 (-5.19) |
34.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
408.00 |
378.51 (-29.49) |
495.58 |
455.15 (-40.43) |
455.15 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.70 |
5.29 (-0.42) |
7.22 |
6.89 (-0.33) |
6.89 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.36 |
32.20 (+6.84) |
21.67 |
28.99 (+7.32) |
28.99 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
346.82 |
392.99 (+46.17) |
339.83 |
404.06 (+64.23) |
404.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.17 |
5.64 (+0.47) |
5.39 |
6.06 (+0.67) |
6.06 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Bowling Green |
41.84 |
23.51 |
-18.33 |
65.35 |
79.39% |
W 34-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
New Mexico State |
35.20 |
20.25 |
-14.96 |
55.45 |
73.99% |
W 33-17 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Buffalo |
43.10 |
19.63 |
-23.48 |
62.73 |
87.65% |
W 55-27 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Florida International |
49.49 |
18.40 |
-31.09 |
67.89 |
99.87% |
W 38-6 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-05 |
Sam Houston State |
43.30 |
16.89 |
-26.41 |
60.19 |
92.36% |
W 21-16 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-10 |
@Jacksonville State |
36.76 |
25.83 |
-10.92 |
62.59 |
67.52% |
W 31-13 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-17 |
Middle Tennessee |
45.40 |
22.91 |
-22.50 |
68.31 |
86.08% |
W 42-35 |
7-0 |
| 2023-10-24 |
@Western Kentucky |
42.30 |
30.77 |
-11.52 |
73.07 |
68.48% |
W 42-29 |
8-0 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Louisiana Tech |
52.83 |
21.94 |
-30.90 |
74.77 |
99.55% |
W 56-30 |
9-0 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Old Dominion |
40.59 |
21.62 |
-18.97 |
62.22 |
80.43% |
W 38-10 |
10-0 |
| 2023-11-18 |
UMass |
59.23 |
23.75 |
-35.48 |
82.97 |
99.90% |
W 49-25 |
11-0 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@UTEP |
40.82 |
19.18 |
-21.63 |
60.00 |
84.70% |
W 42-28 |
12-0 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 12-0 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 4-8 |
0.00% |
| 5-7 |
0.02% |
| 6-6 |
0.23% |
| 7-5 |
1.52% |
| 8-4 |
6.28% |
| 9-3 |
17.83% |
| 10-2 |
30.88% |
| 11-1 |
30.44% |
| 12-0 |
12.81% |