BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Kentucky 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Kentucky 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
21.27 |
25.28 (+4.01) |
28.64 |
33.18 (+4.55) |
33.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
323.27 |
344.41 (+21.14) |
325.27 |
355.89 (+30.62) |
355.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.29 |
5.62 (+0.33) |
5.99 |
6.53 (+0.54) |
6.53 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.82 |
13.40 (-7.41) |
25.55 |
24.20 (-1.35) |
24.20 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
331.82 |
274.91 (-56.90) |
354.91 |
352.69 (-2.22) |
352.69 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.30 |
4.60 (-0.70) |
5.22 |
4.93 (-0.30) |
4.93 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Ball State |
40.69 |
8.67 |
-32.03 |
49.36 |
99.90% |
W 44-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Eastern Kentucky |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 28-17 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Akron |
48.64 |
7.64 |
-41.00 |
56.28 |
99.90% |
W 35-3 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Vanderbilt |
42.34 |
22.97 |
-19.37 |
65.31 |
81.07% |
W 45-28 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Florida |
32.52 |
29.15 |
-3.37 |
61.68 |
55.41% |
W 33-14 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Georgia |
17.93 |
40.48 |
+22.55 |
58.42 |
13.83% |
L 13-51 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Missouri |
23.32 |
33.88 |
+10.56 |
57.20 |
33.06% |
L 21-38 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Tennessee |
26.60 |
33.14 |
+6.53 |
59.74 |
39.52% |
L 27-33 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Mississippi State |
28.52 |
21.88 |
-6.64 |
50.40 |
60.66% |
W 24-3 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Alabama |
18.67 |
34.27 |
+15.61 |
52.94 |
24.97% |
L 21-49 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-19 |
@South Carolina |
27.00 |
28.24 |
+1.23 |
55.24 |
48.03% |
L 14-17 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Louisville |
21.51 |
32.56 |
+11.05 |
54.06 |
32.28% |
W 38-31 |
7-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-29 |
Clemson |
23.28 |
27.13 |
+3.85 |
50.40 |
43.82% |
L 35-38 |
7-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.00% |
| 3-10 |
0.17% |
| 4-9 |
1.92% |
| 5-8 |
8.14% |
| 6-7 |
18.94% |
| 7-6 |
26.49% |
| 8-5 |
23.52% |
| 9-4 |
14.03% |
| 10-3 |
5.41% |
| 11-2 |
1.21% |
| 12-1 |
0.16% |
| 13-0 |
0.01% |