BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Kentucky 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Kentucky 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
21.27 |
25.28 (+4.01) |
28.64 |
33.08 (+4.45) |
33.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
323.27 |
344.41 (+21.14) |
325.27 |
354.13 (+28.85) |
354.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.29 |
5.62 (+0.33) |
5.99 |
6.50 (+0.51) |
6.50 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.82 |
13.40 (-7.41) |
25.55 |
24.10 (-1.45) |
24.10 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
331.82 |
274.91 (-56.90) |
354.91 |
350.70 (-4.21) |
350.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.30 |
4.60 (-0.70) |
5.22 |
4.89 (-0.33) |
4.89 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Ball State |
40.49 |
8.53 |
-31.97 |
49.02 |
99.90% |
W 44-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Eastern Kentucky |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 28-17 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Akron |
48.61 |
7.46 |
-41.15 |
56.07 |
99.90% |
W 35-3 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Vanderbilt |
42.05 |
23.00 |
-19.05 |
65.06 |
80.55% |
W 45-28 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Florida |
32.28 |
28.94 |
-3.34 |
61.22 |
55.36% |
W 33-14 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Georgia |
17.59 |
40.62 |
+23.02 |
58.21 |
13.07% |
L 13-51 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Missouri |
23.23 |
33.77 |
+10.54 |
57.01 |
33.10% |
L 21-38 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Tennessee |
26.54 |
33.06 |
+6.52 |
59.60 |
39.54% |
L 27-33 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Mississippi State |
28.51 |
21.73 |
-6.78 |
50.24 |
60.88% |
W 24-3 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Alabama |
19.14 |
33.85 |
+14.72 |
52.99 |
26.40% |
L 21-49 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-19 |
@South Carolina |
26.82 |
28.15 |
+1.33 |
54.97 |
47.87% |
L 14-17 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Louisville |
23.02 |
33.90 |
+10.88 |
56.91 |
32.55% |
W 38-31 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.33% |
| 4-8 |
3.07% |
| 5-7 |
11.85% |
| 6-6 |
23.94% |
| 7-5 |
28.41% |
| 8-4 |
20.33% |
| 9-3 |
9.27% |
| 10-2 |
2.40% |
| 11-1 |
0.36% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |