BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Louisville 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Louisville 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 27.17 30.44 (+3.28) 30.91 33.97 (+3.06) 33.97 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 405.50 444.82 (+39.32) 416.09 441.80 (+25.71) 441.80 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.96 6.36 (+0.40) 6.45 6.98 (+0.53) 6.98 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 20.17 17.17 (-3.00) 21.82 17.83 (-3.99) 17.83 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 347.08 330.34 (-16.74) 319.00 311.56 (-7.44) 311.56 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.27 5.15 (-0.13) 5.21 5.02 (-0.19) 5.02 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.4

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-01 @Georgia Tech 37.00 25.25 -11.75 62.24 68.85% W 39-34 1-0
2023-09-07 Murray State Non-FBS Opponent W 56-0 2-0
2023-09-16 @Indiana 37.35 19.94 -17.41 57.28 77.93% W 21-14 3-0
2023-09-23 Boston College 40.98 17.40 -23.58 58.38 87.83% W 56-28 4-0
2023-09-29 @NC State 23.57 22.24 -1.33 45.81 52.14% W 13-10 5-0
2023-10-07 Notre Dame 24.13 31.30 +7.17 55.43 38.49% W 33-20 6-0
2023-10-14 @Pittsburgh 32.46 14.64 -17.82 47.10 78.57% L 21-38 6-1
2023-10-28 Duke 25.56 21.31 -4.24 46.87 56.81% W 23-0 7-1
2023-11-04 Virginia Tech 33.89 21.19 -12.70 55.08 70.37% W 34-3 8-1
2023-11-10 Virginia 40.86 17.97 -22.89 58.83 86.71% W 31-24 9-1
2023-11-18 @Miami 26.47 25.08 -1.39 51.55 52.23% W 38-31 10-1
2023-11-25 Kentucky 33.90 23.02 -10.88 56.91 67.45% L 31-38 10-2

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
10-2 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-10 0.00%
3-9 0.07%
4-8 0.45%
5-7 2.27%
6-6 7.48%
7-5 16.73%
8-4 25.12%
9-3 25.20%
10-2 15.95%
11-1 5.81%
12-0 0.92%