BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Louisville 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Louisville 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.17 |
30.44 (+3.28) |
30.91 |
33.97 (+3.06) |
33.97 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
405.50 |
444.82 (+39.32) |
416.09 |
441.80 (+25.71) |
441.80 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.96 |
6.36 (+0.40) |
6.45 |
6.98 (+0.53) |
6.98 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.17 |
17.17 (-3.00) |
21.82 |
17.83 (-3.99) |
17.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
347.08 |
330.34 (-16.74) |
319.00 |
311.56 (-7.44) |
311.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.27 |
5.15 (-0.13) |
5.21 |
5.02 (-0.19) |
5.02 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-01 |
@Georgia Tech |
37.00 |
25.25 |
-11.75 |
62.24 |
68.85% |
W 39-34 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-07 |
Murray State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-0 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Indiana |
37.35 |
19.94 |
-17.41 |
57.28 |
77.93% |
W 21-14 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Boston College |
40.98 |
17.40 |
-23.58 |
58.38 |
87.83% |
W 56-28 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-29 |
@NC State |
23.57 |
22.24 |
-1.33 |
45.81 |
52.14% |
W 13-10 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Notre Dame |
24.13 |
31.30 |
+7.17 |
55.43 |
38.49% |
W 33-20 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Pittsburgh |
32.46 |
14.64 |
-17.82 |
47.10 |
78.57% |
L 21-38 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Duke |
25.56 |
21.31 |
-4.24 |
46.87 |
56.81% |
W 23-0 |
7-1 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Virginia Tech |
33.89 |
21.19 |
-12.70 |
55.08 |
70.37% |
W 34-3 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-10 |
Virginia |
40.86 |
17.97 |
-22.89 |
58.83 |
86.71% |
W 31-24 |
9-1 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Miami |
26.47 |
25.08 |
-1.39 |
51.55 |
52.23% |
W 38-31 |
10-1 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Kentucky |
33.90 |
23.02 |
-10.88 |
56.91 |
67.45% |
L 31-38 |
10-2 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-2 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.00% |
| 3-9 |
0.07% |
| 4-8 |
0.45% |
| 5-7 |
2.27% |
| 6-6 |
7.48% |
| 7-5 |
16.73% |
| 8-4 |
25.12% |
| 9-3 |
25.20% |
| 10-2 |
15.95% |
| 11-1 |
5.81% |
| 12-0 |
0.92% |