BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Buffalo 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Buffalo 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 28.82 22.43 (-6.39) 19.45 14.10 (-5.35) 14.10 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 342.00 296.89 (-45.11) 300.45 261.24 (-39.21) 261.24 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 4.39 3.58 (-0.81) 4.49 3.82 (-0.67) 3.82 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 26.27 33.07 (+6.79) 26.27 34.08 (+7.81) 34.08 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 357.45 403.90 (+46.44) 353.82 428.66 (+74.84) 428.66 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.72 6.45 (+0.73) 5.94 6.71 (+0.77) 6.71 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.8

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 @Wisconsin 8.87 34.86 +25.99 43.72 8.31% L 17-38 0-1
2023-09-09 Fordham Non-FBS Opponent L 37-40 0-2
2023-09-16 Liberty 19.63 43.10 +23.48 62.73 12.35% L 27-55 0-3
2023-09-23 @Louisiana 20.18 35.91 +15.73 56.09 24.78% L 38-45 0-4
2023-09-30 @Akron 22.91 13.97 -8.94 36.87 64.34% W 13-10 1-4
2023-10-07 Central Michigan 26.56 23.09 -3.47 49.65 55.57% W 37-13 2-4
2023-10-14 Bowling Green 20.19 28.21 +8.02 48.40 37.14% L 14-24 2-5
2023-10-21 @Kent State 29.65 14.93 -14.72 44.58 73.61% W 24-6 3-5
2023-10-31 @Toledo 16.14 35.72 +19.58 51.86 18.59% L 13-31 3-6
2023-11-08 Ohio 16.38 21.42 +5.03 37.80 41.93% L 10-20 3-7
2023-11-16 @Miami (OH) 11.95 24.50 +12.55 36.45 29.87% L 10-23 3-8
2023-11-22 Eastern Michigan 22.97 13.68 -9.29 36.64 64.90% L 11-24 3-9

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
3-9 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 0.20%
2-10 1.95%
3-9 8.15%
4-8 19.01%
5-7 26.56%
6-6 23.99%
7-5 13.71%
8-4 5.07%
9-3 1.20%
10-2 0.15%
11-1 0.02%