BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Buffalo 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Buffalo 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.82 |
22.43 (-6.39) |
19.45 |
14.10 (-5.35) |
14.10 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
342.00 |
296.89 (-45.11) |
300.45 |
261.24 (-39.21) |
261.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.39 |
3.58 (-0.81) |
4.49 |
3.82 (-0.67) |
3.82 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.27 |
33.07 (+6.79) |
26.27 |
34.08 (+7.81) |
34.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
357.45 |
403.90 (+46.44) |
353.82 |
428.66 (+74.84) |
428.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.72 |
6.45 (+0.73) |
5.94 |
6.71 (+0.77) |
6.71 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Wisconsin |
8.87 |
34.86 |
+25.99 |
43.72 |
8.31% |
L 17-38 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Fordham |
Non-FBS Opponent |
L 37-40 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Liberty |
19.63 |
43.10 |
+23.48 |
62.73 |
12.35% |
L 27-55 |
0-3 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Louisiana |
20.18 |
35.91 |
+15.73 |
56.09 |
24.78% |
L 38-45 |
0-4 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Akron |
22.91 |
13.97 |
-8.94 |
36.87 |
64.34% |
W 13-10 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Central Michigan |
26.56 |
23.09 |
-3.47 |
49.65 |
55.57% |
W 37-13 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Bowling Green |
20.19 |
28.21 |
+8.02 |
48.40 |
37.14% |
L 14-24 |
2-5 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Kent State |
29.65 |
14.93 |
-14.72 |
44.58 |
73.61% |
W 24-6 |
3-5 |
| 2023-10-31 |
@Toledo |
16.14 |
35.72 |
+19.58 |
51.86 |
18.59% |
L 13-31 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-08 |
Ohio |
16.38 |
21.42 |
+5.03 |
37.80 |
41.93% |
L 10-20 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-16 |
@Miami (OH) |
11.95 |
24.50 |
+12.55 |
36.45 |
29.87% |
L 10-23 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-22 |
Eastern Michigan |
22.97 |
13.68 |
-9.29 |
36.64 |
64.90% |
L 11-24 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.20% |
| 2-10 |
1.95% |
| 3-9 |
8.15% |
| 4-8 |
19.01% |
| 5-7 |
26.56% |
| 6-6 |
23.99% |
| 7-5 |
13.71% |
| 8-4 |
5.07% |
| 9-3 |
1.20% |
| 10-2 |
0.15% |
| 11-1 |
0.02% |