BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
North Carolina 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
North Carolina 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
33.25 |
35.38 (+2.13) |
34.55 |
38.51 (+3.96) |
38.51 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
462.33 |
500.46 (+38.13) |
495.73 |
526.18 (+30.45) |
526.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.30 |
6.71 (+0.41) |
6.58 |
7.02 (+0.44) |
7.02 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.58 |
32.03 (+0.45) |
28.91 |
27.75 (-1.16) |
27.75 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
446.83 |
457.07 (+10.23) |
416.27 |
430.12 (+13.85) |
430.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.16 |
6.40 (+0.24) |
5.65 |
5.65 (+0.00) |
5.65 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
South Carolina |
34.33 |
29.78 |
-4.55 |
64.10 |
57.30% |
W 31-17 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Appalachian State |
46.35 |
32.70 |
-13.65 |
79.05 |
71.90% |
W 40-34 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Minnesota |
40.98 |
25.26 |
-15.72 |
66.24 |
75.22% |
W 31-13 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Pittsburgh |
36.58 |
23.63 |
-12.94 |
60.21 |
70.76% |
W 41-24 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Syracuse |
38.54 |
22.53 |
-16.01 |
61.06 |
75.68% |
W 40-7 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Miami |
33.28 |
34.84 |
+1.56 |
68.12 |
47.50% |
W 41-31 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Virginia |
45.64 |
27.69 |
-17.95 |
73.33 |
78.79% |
L 27-31 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-29 |
@Georgia Tech |
41.53 |
36.14 |
-5.40 |
77.67 |
58.66% |
L 42-46 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Campbell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 59-7 |
7-2 |
| 2023-11-12 |
Duke |
29.83 |
31.89 |
+2.06 |
61.73 |
46.70% |
W 47-45 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Clemson |
24.67 |
33.51 |
+8.84 |
58.18 |
35.82% |
L 20-31 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@NC State |
27.78 |
32.02 |
+4.23 |
59.80 |
43.21% |
L 20-39 |
8-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.04% |
| 3-9 |
0.35% |
| 4-8 |
1.97% |
| 5-7 |
6.27% |
| 6-6 |
14.62% |
| 7-5 |
23.00% |
| 8-4 |
24.93% |
| 9-3 |
18.02% |
| 10-2 |
8.20% |
| 11-1 |
2.33% |
| 12-0 |
0.28% |