BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Virginia 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Virginia 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
15.11 |
17.40 (+2.29) |
22.91 |
26.73 (+3.82) |
26.73 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
326.11 |
341.39 (+15.28) |
355.45 |
375.68 (+20.23) |
375.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.84 |
5.07 (+0.23) |
5.10 |
5.46 (+0.37) |
5.46 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.78 |
24.96 (+0.18) |
35.64 |
30.42 (-5.22) |
30.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
361.11 |
345.82 (-15.29) |
426.36 |
381.18 (-45.19) |
381.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.99 |
4.71 (-0.27) |
6.28 |
5.73 (-0.54) |
5.73 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Tennessee |
18.49 |
42.28 |
+23.79 |
60.77 |
11.84% |
L 13-49 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
James Madison |
25.51 |
35.92 |
+10.41 |
61.43 |
33.31% |
L 35-36 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-15 |
@Maryland |
23.47 |
41.58 |
+18.11 |
65.05 |
20.96% |
L 14-42 |
0-3 |
| 2023-09-22 |
NC State |
21.44 |
31.68 |
+10.25 |
53.12 |
33.56% |
L 21-24 |
0-4 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Boston College |
30.60 |
31.75 |
+1.15 |
62.34 |
48.16% |
L 24-27 |
0-5 |
| 2023-10-07 |
William & Mary |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 27-13 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@North Carolina |
27.69 |
45.64 |
+17.95 |
73.33 |
21.21% |
W 31-27 |
2-5 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Miami |
20.43 |
39.63 |
+19.20 |
60.06 |
19.20% |
L 26-29 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Georgia Tech |
32.27 |
37.50 |
+5.24 |
69.77 |
41.60% |
L 17-45 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-10 |
@Louisville |
17.97 |
40.86 |
+22.89 |
58.83 |
13.29% |
L 24-31 |
2-8 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Duke |
20.92 |
34.71 |
+13.79 |
55.63 |
27.88% |
W 30-27 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Virginia Tech |
27.73 |
34.88 |
+7.15 |
62.61 |
38.53% |
L 17-55 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
2.27% |
| 2-10 |
10.86% |
| 3-9 |
22.57% |
| 4-8 |
26.98% |
| 5-7 |
21.04% |
| 6-6 |
11.14% |
| 7-5 |
3.95% |
| 8-4 |
1.02% |
| 9-3 |
0.15% |
| 10-2 |
0.02% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |