BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Southern Mississippi 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Southern Mississippi 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
20.64 |
16.57 (-4.06) |
21.64 |
20.06 (-1.58) |
20.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
309.27 |
288.28 (-21.00) |
341.18 |
345.36 (+4.18) |
345.36 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.87 |
4.54 (-0.33) |
4.77 |
4.81 (+0.03) |
4.81 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.73 |
28.50 (+3.77) |
37.73 |
40.85 (+3.13) |
40.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
380.00 |
414.99 (+34.99) |
433.18 |
454.56 (+21.38) |
454.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.46 |
5.89 (+0.44) |
6.85 |
7.02 (+0.18) |
7.02 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Alcorn State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 40-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
@Florida State |
9.22 |
58.83 |
+49.61 |
68.05 |
0.10% |
L 13-66 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Tulane |
17.08 |
32.98 |
+15.90 |
50.06 |
24.50% |
L 3-21 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Arkansas State |
27.22 |
37.54 |
+10.33 |
64.76 |
33.43% |
L 37-44 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Texas State |
32.98 |
41.62 |
+8.64 |
74.60 |
36.15% |
L 36-50 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Old Dominion |
23.10 |
32.08 |
+8.98 |
55.18 |
35.60% |
L 13-17 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-17 |
@South Alabama |
18.74 |
43.16 |
+24.42 |
61.90 |
10.83% |
L 3-55 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Appalachian State |
23.85 |
48.36 |
+24.51 |
72.22 |
10.69% |
L 38-48 |
1-7 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Louisiana Monroe |
31.78 |
23.16 |
-8.62 |
54.93 |
63.82% |
W 24-7 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-10 |
@Louisiana |
27.45 |
42.77 |
+15.32 |
70.22 |
25.43% |
W 34-31 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Mississippi State |
16.32 |
36.74 |
+20.42 |
53.07 |
17.25% |
L 20-41 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Troy |
13.20 |
36.52 |
+23.31 |
49.72 |
12.61% |
L 17-35 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.01% |
| 1-11 |
3.27% |
| 2-10 |
14.77% |
| 3-9 |
27.55% |
| 4-8 |
28.14% |
| 5-7 |
17.22% |
| 6-6 |
6.89% |
| 7-5 |
1.81% |
| 8-4 |
0.31% |
| 9-3 |
0.04% |