BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Troy 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Troy 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.17 |
21.80 (-3.37) |
28.00 |
23.21 (-4.79) |
23.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
362.25 |
341.04 (-21.21) |
389.36 |
365.88 (-23.48) |
365.88 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.78 |
5.46 (-0.32) |
6.01 |
5.62 (-0.39) |
5.62 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
17.58 |
20.10 (+2.51) |
15.45 |
16.33 (+0.87) |
16.33 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
323.08 |
335.15 (+12.07) |
293.64 |
300.57 (+6.93) |
300.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.68 |
4.90 (+0.22) |
4.80 |
5.00 (+0.20) |
5.00 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Stephen F. Austin |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 48-30 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Kansas State |
14.12 |
34.27 |
+20.15 |
48.40 |
17.68% |
L 13-42 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
James Madison |
20.65 |
20.43 |
-0.22 |
41.09 |
50.35% |
L 14-16 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Western Kentucky |
30.88 |
15.67 |
-15.21 |
46.54 |
74.39% |
W 27-24 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Georgia State |
28.07 |
14.11 |
-13.96 |
42.18 |
72.38% |
W 28-7 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Arkansas State |
32.65 |
12.38 |
-20.26 |
45.03 |
82.50% |
W 37-3 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Army |
22.79 |
8.64 |
-14.15 |
31.42 |
72.69% |
W 19-0 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Texas State |
35.26 |
19.06 |
-16.20 |
54.32 |
75.98% |
W 31-13 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-02 |
South Alabama |
23.62 |
16.14 |
-7.48 |
39.75 |
62.00% |
W 28-10 |
7-2 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Louisiana Monroe |
34.08 |
6.68 |
-27.40 |
40.76 |
93.95% |
W 45-14 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Louisiana |
33.14 |
15.45 |
-17.68 |
48.59 |
78.36% |
W 31-24 |
9-2 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Southern Mississippi |
36.52 |
13.20 |
-23.31 |
49.72 |
87.39% |
W 35-17 |
10-2 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-2 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.01% |
| 4-8 |
0.18% |
| 5-7 |
1.16% |
| 6-6 |
4.74% |
| 7-5 |
13.09% |
| 8-4 |
24.21% |
| 9-3 |
28.36% |
| 10-2 |
20.11% |
| 11-1 |
7.24% |
| 12-0 |
0.90% |