BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
TCU 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
TCU 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
38.75 |
44.77 (+6.02) |
30.45 |
34.73 (+4.27) |
34.73 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
459.92 |
485.08 (+25.17) |
464.36 |
502.77 (+38.41) |
502.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.76 |
7.36 (+0.60) |
6.18 |
6.56 (+0.38) |
6.56 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.67 |
17.22 (-8.45) |
29.82 |
22.93 (-6.89) |
22.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
392.58 |
339.02 (-53.56) |
420.91 |
380.17 (-40.74) |
380.17 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.43 |
4.78 (-0.65) |
5.79 |
5.43 (-0.36) |
5.43 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Colorado |
41.81 |
29.83 |
-11.97 |
71.64 |
69.21% |
L 42-45 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-10 |
Nicholls |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-6 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-17 |
@Houston |
36.62 |
22.92 |
-13.70 |
59.55 |
71.97% |
W 36-13 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
SMU |
31.56 |
30.20 |
-1.36 |
61.76 |
52.18% |
W 34-17 |
3-1 |
| 2023-10-01 |
West Virginia |
34.34 |
28.45 |
-5.88 |
62.79 |
59.44% |
L 21-24 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-08 |
@Iowa State |
24.29 |
29.72 |
+5.43 |
54.01 |
41.29% |
L 14-27 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
BYU |
36.31 |
21.50 |
-14.81 |
57.81 |
73.75% |
W 44-11 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Kansas State |
24.06 |
42.40 |
+18.34 |
66.46 |
20.58% |
L 3-41 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-02 |
@Texas Tech |
30.15 |
29.40 |
-0.75 |
59.54 |
51.20% |
L 28-35 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-12 |
Texas |
18.04 |
34.97 |
+16.93 |
53.01 |
22.84% |
L 26-29 |
4-6 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Baylor |
42.42 |
22.59 |
-19.84 |
65.01 |
81.82% |
W 42-17 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-24 |
@Oklahoma |
24.70 |
44.88 |
+20.18 |
69.57 |
17.63% |
L 45-69 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.19% |
| 3-9 |
1.48% |
| 4-8 |
6.01% |
| 5-7 |
14.66% |
| 6-6 |
24.11% |
| 7-5 |
25.65% |
| 8-4 |
17.69% |
| 9-3 |
7.82% |
| 10-2 |
2.06% |
| 11-1 |
0.29% |
| 12-0 |
0.02% |