BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Duke 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Duke 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.45 |
36.99 (+10.53) |
26.91 |
26.14 (-0.77) |
26.14 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
334.18 |
362.88 (+28.69) |
340.64 |
336.46 (-4.18) |
336.46 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.53 |
6.01 (+0.48) |
5.30 |
5.25 (-0.05) |
5.25 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.91 |
16.05 (-4.86) |
23.91 |
23.47 (-0.44) |
23.47 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
367.27 |
367.76 (+0.48) |
361.73 |
364.12 (+2.39) |
364.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.24 |
5.09 (-0.15) |
4.91 |
4.92 (+0.01) |
4.92 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Elon |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 26-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Northwestern |
28.74 |
17.67 |
-11.07 |
46.41 |
67.76% |
W 26-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UConn |
28.67 |
20.54 |
-8.12 |
49.21 |
63.03% |
W 26-21 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Middle Tennessee |
36.16 |
16.41 |
-19.75 |
52.57 |
81.68% |
W 45-17 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
North Carolina |
34.25 |
28.36 |
-5.89 |
62.62 |
59.45% |
W 21-20 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-06 |
@Georgia Tech |
22.08 |
26.54 |
+4.47 |
48.62 |
42.84% |
L 14-24 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-18 |
Florida State |
27.03 |
12.80 |
-14.23 |
39.84 |
72.82% |
W 23-16 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-27 |
SMU |
24.14 |
35.35 |
+11.21 |
59.49 |
32.02% |
L 27-28 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Miami |
24.65 |
42.65 |
+18.00 |
67.31 |
21.13% |
L 31-53 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@NC State |
30.71 |
29.99 |
-0.73 |
60.70 |
51.17% |
W 29-19 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-24 |
Virginia Tech |
23.35 |
26.92 |
+3.58 |
50.27 |
44.26% |
W 31-28 |
8-3 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Wake Forest |
30.50 |
24.65 |
-5.85 |
55.15 |
59.38% |
W 23-17 |
9-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.14% |
| 3-9 |
1.02% |
| 4-8 |
4.37% |
| 5-7 |
11.79% |
| 6-6 |
20.94% |
| 7-5 |
25.18% |
| 8-4 |
20.62% |
| 9-3 |
11.28% |
| 10-2 |
3.91% |
| 11-1 |
0.70% |
| 12-0 |
0.06% |