BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Louisville 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Louisville 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.83 |
35.60 (+6.77) |
34.27 |
37.57 (+3.30) |
37.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
397.08 |
425.20 (+28.12) |
447.36 |
471.77 (+24.40) |
471.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.14 |
6.68 (+0.55) |
6.73 |
7.05 (+0.32) |
7.05 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.33 |
12.87 (-8.47) |
25.36 |
21.48 (-3.88) |
21.48 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
310.67 |
297.54 (-13.13) |
382.64 |
361.19 (-21.44) |
361.19 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.06 |
4.78 (-0.28) |
5.61 |
5.39 (-0.21) |
5.39 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Austin Peay |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 62-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Jacksonville State |
44.75 |
27.05 |
-17.69 |
71.80 |
78.38% |
W 49-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Georgia Tech |
34.60 |
22.64 |
-11.97 |
57.24 |
69.19% |
W 31-19 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Notre Dame |
22.72 |
39.81 |
+17.09 |
62.53 |
22.58% |
L 24-31 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
SMU |
34.04 |
33.04 |
-0.99 |
67.08 |
51.59% |
L 27-34 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Virginia |
36.87 |
21.06 |
-15.81 |
57.93 |
75.35% |
W 24-20 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Miami |
38.44 |
37.79 |
-0.64 |
76.23 |
51.03% |
L 45-52 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-25 |
@Boston College |
36.41 |
26.08 |
-10.33 |
62.49 |
66.57% |
W 31-27 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Clemson |
32.24 |
32.32 |
+0.08 |
64.57 |
49.87% |
W 33-21 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Stanford |
43.87 |
19.69 |
-24.18 |
63.56 |
88.79% |
L 35-38 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Pittsburgh |
39.87 |
22.37 |
-17.50 |
62.24 |
78.06% |
W 37-9 |
7-4 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Kentucky |
28.81 |
22.33 |
-6.47 |
51.14 |
60.38% |
W 41-14 |
8-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.02% |
| 3-9 |
0.16% |
| 4-8 |
1.00% |
| 5-7 |
4.40% |
| 6-6 |
11.52% |
| 7-5 |
21.42% |
| 8-4 |
26.12% |
| 9-3 |
21.37% |
| 10-2 |
10.68% |
| 11-1 |
2.97% |
| 12-0 |
0.35% |