BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 09:30 on Monday, January 6, 2025
#16 Louisville 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Louisville 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#4)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.83 |
35.60 (+6.77) |
34.27 |
37.56 (+3.29) |
37.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
397.08 |
425.20 (+28.12) |
447.36 |
472.35 (+24.99) |
472.35 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.14 |
6.68 (+0.55) |
6.73 |
7.06 (+0.33) |
7.06 (+0.00) |
Defense (#46)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.33 |
12.87 (-8.47) |
25.36 |
21.43 (-3.94) |
21.43 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
310.67 |
297.54 (-13.13) |
382.64 |
360.79 (-21.84) |
360.79 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.06 |
4.78 (-0.28) |
5.61 |
5.40 (-0.20) |
5.40 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Austin Peay |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 62-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Jacksonville State |
43.03 |
28.47 |
-14.56 |
71.50 |
73.35% |
W 49-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Georgia Tech |
34.69 |
22.60 |
-12.08 |
57.29 |
69.38% |
W 31-19 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Notre Dame |
23.11 |
39.65 |
+16.54 |
62.76 |
23.47% |
L 24-31 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
SMU |
34.59 |
32.72 |
-1.87 |
67.32 |
53.00% |
L 27-34 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Virginia |
36.90 |
20.92 |
-15.97 |
57.82 |
75.62% |
W 24-20 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Miami |
38.43 |
37.64 |
-0.80 |
76.07 |
51.28% |
L 45-52 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-25 |
@Boston College |
36.61 |
25.87 |
-10.74 |
62.48 |
67.22% |
W 31-27 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Clemson |
32.05 |
32.69 |
+0.64 |
64.74 |
48.98% |
W 33-21 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Stanford |
43.91 |
19.54 |
-24.38 |
63.45 |
89.10% |
L 35-38 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Pittsburgh |
39.92 |
22.24 |
-17.68 |
62.16 |
78.35% |
W 37-9 |
7-4 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Kentucky |
29.02 |
22.41 |
-6.62 |
51.43 |
60.61% |
W 41-14 |
8-4 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2024-12-31 |
@Washington |
33.03 |
20.49 |
-12.54 |
53.52 |
70.11% |
W 35-34 |
9-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.01% |
| 3-10 |
0.08% |
| 4-9 |
0.43% |
| 5-8 |
2.00% |
| 6-7 |
6.62% |
| 7-6 |
14.52% |
| 8-5 |
22.79% |
| 9-4 |
24.50% |
| 10-3 |
18.28% |
| 11-2 |
8.37% |
| 12-1 |
2.21% |
| 13-0 |
0.21% |