BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Virginia 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Virginia 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.91 |
28.93 (+6.02) |
21.64 |
22.66 (+1.03) |
22.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
355.45 |
375.51 (+20.06) |
348.55 |
349.79 (+1.25) |
349.79 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.10 |
5.46 (+0.36) |
4.97 |
5.14 (+0.18) |
5.14 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
35.64 |
25.71 (-9.93) |
30.18 |
26.30 (-3.88) |
26.30 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
426.36 |
381.99 (-44.37) |
419.82 |
402.46 (-17.35) |
402.46 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.28 |
5.75 (-0.53) |
6.16 |
6.02 (-0.14) |
6.02 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Richmond |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Wake Forest |
26.85 |
27.86 |
+1.00 |
54.71 |
48.39% |
W 31-30 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 |
Maryland |
30.13 |
25.22 |
-4.91 |
55.36 |
57.87% |
L 13-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Coastal Carolina |
26.31 |
29.02 |
+2.71 |
55.34 |
45.66% |
W 43-24 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Boston College |
25.08 |
28.39 |
+3.32 |
53.47 |
44.68% |
W 24-14 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Louisville |
21.06 |
36.87 |
+15.81 |
57.93 |
24.65% |
L 20-24 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Clemson |
18.76 |
38.01 |
+19.25 |
56.77 |
19.12% |
L 31-48 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
North Carolina |
30.43 |
31.78 |
+1.35 |
62.21 |
47.83% |
L 14-41 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Pittsburgh |
22.27 |
28.94 |
+6.67 |
51.21 |
39.30% |
W 24-19 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Notre Dame |
11.64 |
46.13 |
+34.49 |
57.76 |
0.10% |
L 14-35 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
SMU |
21.16 |
38.98 |
+17.82 |
60.15 |
21.42% |
L 7-33 |
5-6 |
| 2024-12-01 |
@Virginia Tech |
16.99 |
32.60 |
+15.60 |
49.59 |
24.97% |
L 17-37 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.72% |
| 2-10 |
5.04% |
| 3-9 |
14.52% |
| 4-8 |
24.36% |
| 5-7 |
25.99% |
| 6-6 |
17.88% |
| 7-5 |
8.33% |
| 8-4 |
2.54% |
| 9-3 |
0.56% |
| 10-2 |
0.06% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |