BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 09:30 on Monday, January 6, 2025
#104 Virginia 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Virginia 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#98)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.91 |
28.93 (+6.02) |
21.64 |
22.56 (+0.92) |
22.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
355.45 |
375.51 (+20.06) |
348.55 |
349.53 (+0.98) |
349.53 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.10 |
5.46 (+0.36) |
4.97 |
5.15 (+0.18) |
5.15 (+0.00) |
Defense (#84)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
35.64 |
25.71 (-9.93) |
30.18 |
26.34 (-3.85) |
26.34 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
426.36 |
381.99 (-44.37) |
420.00 |
403.19 (-16.81) |
403.19 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.28 |
5.75 (-0.53) |
6.19 |
6.07 (-0.12) |
6.07 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Richmond |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Wake Forest |
26.98 |
27.87 |
+0.89 |
54.85 |
48.58% |
W 31-30 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 |
Maryland |
29.92 |
24.96 |
-4.95 |
54.88 |
57.94% |
L 13-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Coastal Carolina |
26.34 |
29.35 |
+3.00 |
55.69 |
45.18% |
W 43-24 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Boston College |
25.13 |
28.28 |
+3.15 |
53.41 |
44.94% |
W 24-14 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Louisville |
20.92 |
36.90 |
+15.97 |
57.82 |
24.38% |
L 20-24 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Clemson |
18.50 |
38.56 |
+20.06 |
57.06 |
17.83% |
L 31-48 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
North Carolina |
30.32 |
31.78 |
+1.47 |
62.10 |
47.64% |
L 14-41 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Pittsburgh |
22.23 |
28.91 |
+6.69 |
51.14 |
39.28% |
W 24-19 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Notre Dame |
11.84 |
46.10 |
+34.25 |
57.94 |
0.10% |
L 14-35 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
SMU |
21.41 |
38.77 |
+17.36 |
60.18 |
22.15% |
L 7-33 |
5-6 |
| 2024-12-01 |
@Virginia Tech |
16.91 |
32.85 |
+15.94 |
49.76 |
24.44% |
L 17-37 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.77% |
| 2-10 |
5.18% |
| 3-9 |
14.69% |
| 4-8 |
24.32% |
| 5-7 |
25.70% |
| 6-6 |
17.82% |
| 7-5 |
8.41% |
| 8-4 |
2.57% |
| 9-3 |
0.50% |
| 10-2 |
0.04% |