| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @Baylor | -5.8 | 59% | W 38-24 (1-0) | -1.5 ✓ / 58 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsBall State | -27.0 | 93% | W 42-3 (2-0) | -43.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsSouth Alabama | -20.2 | 82% | W 31-15 (3-0) | -26.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | @#15 Oklahoma | +9.5 | 35% | L 17-24 (3-1) | +6.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | @#9 Texas A&M | +9.4 | 35% | L 10-16 (3-2) | +6.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/11 | vs#8 Georgia | +6.5 | 40% | L 10-20 (3-3) | +4.5 ✗ / 46 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | vsMissouri | +0.0 | 50% | L 17-23 (3-4) | +1.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | @Arkansas | -3.0 | 55% | W 33-24 (4-4) | +2.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsKentucky | -8.9 | 64% | L 3-10 (4-5) | -11.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | @#10 Vanderbilt | +8.8 | 36% | L 38-45 (4-6) | +6.0 ✗ / 46 O |
| 12 | IDLE | |||||
| 13 | 11/22 | vsMercer | - | - | W 62-17 (5-6) | -26.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 14 | 11/30 | vs#17 Alabama | +3.9 | 44% | L 20-27 (5-7) | +7.0 P / 48 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 18.5 | 25.8 | +7.3 |
| Offense YPG | 327.8 | 387.0 | +59.3 |
| Offense YPP | 4.77 | 5.62 | +0.85 |
| Defense PPG | 23.6 | 17.7 | -5.9 |
| Defense YPG | 338.5 | 299.5 | -39.0 |
| Defense YPP | 5.18 | 4.73 | -0.45 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +5.2 | 28 |
| Median (Current) | +8.4 | 5 |
| Mean (Historical) | +9.7 | 3 |
| Median (Historical) | +11.6 | 2 |
If Auburn replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Auburn isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Auburn do with another team's schedule?