| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsMorgan State | - | - | W 38-21 (1-0) | -28.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsTulane | +12.2 | 30% | L 31-33 (1-1) | +13.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Auburn | +20.2 | 18% | L 15-31 (1-2) | +26.5 ✓ / 56 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsCoastal Carolina | -7.1 | 61% | L 20-38 (1-3) | -14.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | @#22 North Texas | +27.0 | 7% | L 22-36 (1-4) | +13.5 ✗ / 64 U |
| 6 | 10/04 | @Troy | +6.0 | 40% | L 24-31 (1-5) | -2.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/14 | vsArkansas State | -3.2 | 55% | L 14-15 (1-6) | -8.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| 9 | 10/23 | @Georgia State | -5.0 | 58% | W 38-31 (2-6) | -5.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsLouisiana | -2.2 | 54% | L 22-31 (2-7) | -3.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | @UL Monroe | -7.2 | 62% | W 26-14 (3-7) | -4.0 ✓ / 50 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | vsSouthern Miss | +1.3 | 48% | W 42-35 (4-7) | +2.5 ✓ / 53 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | @Texas State | +12.3 | 30% | L 26-49 (4-8) | +9.5 ✗ / 62 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 26.8 | 22.0 | -4.8 |
| Offense YPG | 383.1 | 349.9 | -33.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.34 | 5.15 | -0.19 |
| Defense PPG | 30.2 | 32.5 | +2.2 |
| Defense YPG | 392.9 | 389.0 | -3.9 |
| Defense YPP | 6.01 | 5.98 | -0.03 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -3.9 | 102 |
| Median (Current) | -5.0 | 105 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.1 | 123 |
| Median (Historical) | -8.1 | 126 |
If South Alabama replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game South Alabama isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would South Alabama do with another team's schedule?