Texas A&M

#9 11-2 SEC
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+14.9
Rank #9
Offense (Adj PPG)
38.1
Rank #8
Defense (Adj PPG)
21.2
Rank #33
Actual Record
11-2
All games played
Final Record
11-2
Season complete
Expected Wins
8.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsUTSA-19.681%W 42-24 (1-0)-21.5 ✗ / 56 O
209/06vsUtah State-20.583%W 44-22 (2-0)-34.5 ✗ / 58 O
309/13@#4 Notre Dame+11.532%W 41-40 (3-0)+7.5 ✓ / 48 O
4IDLE
509/27vsAuburn-9.465%W 16-10 (4-0)-6.5 ✗ / 52 U
610/04vsMississippi State-17.879%W 31-9 (5-0)-17.5 ✓ / 58 U
710/11vsFlorida-13.972%W 34-17 (6-0)-7.0 ✓ / 48 O
810/18@Arkansas-11.869%W 45-42 (7-0)-7.5 ✗ / 58 O
910/25@LSU-4.157%W 49-25 (8-0)-1.5 ✓ / 50 O
10IDLE
1111/08@Missouri-1.853%W 38-17 (9-0)-7.0 ✓ / 48 O
1211/15vsSouth Carolina-12.770%W 31-30 (10-0)-16.5 ✗ / 50 O
1311/22vsSamford--W 48-0 (11-0)-54.5 ✗ / 60 U
1411/29@#22 Texas+0.250%L 17-27 (11-1)-2.5 ✗ / 54 U
POST12/20vs#6 Miami+4.044%L 3-10 (11-2)-3.0 ✗ / 48 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG31.038.1+7.1
Offense YPG428.1470.3+42.2
Offense YPP6.507.09+0.59
Defense PPG22.121.2-0.9
Defense YPG337.9310.2-27.7
Defense YPP5.804.94-0.86

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+6.215
Median (Current)+3.842
Mean (Historical)+7.015
Median (Historical)+8.710

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Texas A&M replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 11-2 Expected: 8.5 wins Culture Factor: +2.5 (Winners Win)
2-11
0.0%
3-10
0.1%
4-9
0.7%
5-8
2.6%
6-7
7.5%
7-6
15.5%
8-5
23.0%
9-4
23.6%
10-3
17.2%
11-2
7.6%
12-1
2.0%
13-0
0.2%

Final Record

Final Wins
11
7-6
0.0%
8-5
0.0%
9-4
0.0%
10-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Texas A&M isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Texas A&M do with another team's schedule?