| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @Purdue | +16.6 | 23% | L 0-31 (0-1) | +16.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Auburn | +27.0 | 7% | L 3-42 (0-2) | +43.0 ✓ / 52 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsNew Hampshire | - | - | W 34-29 (1-2) | -3.0 ✓ / 46 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | @UConn | +20.8 | 17% | L 25-31 (1-3) | +21.0 ✓ / 54 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/04 | vsOhio | +13.5 | 28% | W 20-14 (2-3) | +14.0 ✓ / 52 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | @Western Michigan | +16.9 | 23% | L 0-42 (2-4) | +9.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | vsAkron | -0.3 | 51% | W 42-28 (3-4) | +2.5 ✓ / 44 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | @Northern Illinois | +7.0 | 39% | L 7-21 (3-5) | +6.5 ✗ / 42 U |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/06 | vsKent State | +3.0 | 45% | W 17-13 (4-5) | -3.0 ✓ / 48 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | vsEastern Michigan | +5.4 | 41% | L 9-24 (4-6) | +2.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @Toledo | +26.4 | 8% | L 9-38 (4-7) | +29.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | @Miami (OH) | +16.4 | 24% | L 24-45 (4-8) | +16.5 ✗ / 40 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 16.0 | 13.7 | -2.3 |
| Offense YPG | 263.9 | 249.7 | -14.2 |
| Offense YPP | 4.30 | 4.11 | -0.19 |
| Defense PPG | 28.1 | 32.7 | +4.6 |
| Defense YPG | 394.0 | 426.4 | +32.4 |
| Defense YPP | 6.17 | 6.65 | +0.49 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -4.5 | 108 |
| Median (Current) | -4.1 | 99 |
| Mean (Historical) | -6.6 | 117 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.9 | 103 |
If Ball State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Ball State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Ball State do with another team's schedule?