
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vs#17 Alabama | +6.4 | 40% | W 31-17 (1-0) | +13.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsEast Texas A&M | - | - | W 77-3 (2-0) | -43.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 3 | IDLE | |||||
| 4 | 09/20 | vsKent State | -26.4 | 92% | W 66-10 (3-0) | -44.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 5 | 09/26 | @Virginia | +3.1 | 45% | L 38-46 (3-1) | -7.0 ✗ / 60 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | vs#6 Miami | +12.0 | 31% | L 22-28 (3-2) | +3.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | vsPittsburgh | -3.2 | 55% | L 31-34 (3-3) | -10.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| 8 | 10/19 | @Stanford | -9.6 | 65% | L 13-20 (3-4) | -17.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/01 | vsWake Forest | -7.6 | 62% | W 42-7 (4-4) | -12.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 11 | 11/09 | @Clemson | +1.8 | 47% | L 10-24 (4-5) | +1.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 12 | 11/16 | vsVirginia Tech | -15.3 | 74% | W 34-14 (5-5) | -13.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @NC State | -1.6 | 53% | L 11-21 (5-6) | -7.0 ✗ / 58 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | @Florida | +0.2 | 50% | L 21-40 (5-7) | -1.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.0 | 29.9 | +6.9 |
| Offense YPG | 408.2 | 445.3 | +37.0 |
| Offense YPP | 6.20 | 6.92 | +0.72 |
| Defense PPG | 23.5 | 22.6 | -0.9 |
| Defense YPG | 334.1 | 332.0 | -2.1 |
| Defense YPP | 5.37 | 5.08 | -0.28 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +2.9 | 51 |
| Median (Current) | +2.6 | 51 |
| Mean (Historical) | +1.3 | 62 |
| Median (Historical) | +1.5 | 61 |
If Florida State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Florida State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Florida State do with another team's schedule?