Florida State

#47 5-7 ACC
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+4.4
Rank #47
Offense (Adj PPG)
29.9
Rank #40
Defense (Adj PPG)
22.6
Rank #45
Actual Record
5-7
All games played
Final Record
5-7
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.1
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vs#17 Alabama+6.440%W 31-17 (1-0)+13.5 ✓ / 50 U
209/06vsEast Texas A&M--W 77-3 (2-0)-43.5 ✓ / 56 O
3IDLE
409/20vsKent State-26.492%W 66-10 (3-0)-44.5 ✓ / 56 O
509/26@Virginia+3.145%L 38-46 (3-1)-7.0 ✗ / 60 O
610/04vs#6 Miami+12.031%L 22-28 (3-2)+3.5 ✗ / 54 U
710/11vsPittsburgh-3.255%L 31-34 (3-3)-10.5 ✗ / 56 O
810/19@Stanford-9.665%L 13-20 (3-4)-17.5 ✗ / 56 U
9IDLE
1011/01vsWake Forest-7.662%W 42-7 (4-4)-12.5 ✓ / 50 U
1111/09@Clemson+1.847%L 10-24 (4-5)+1.5 ✗ / 56 U
1211/16vsVirginia Tech-15.374%W 34-14 (5-5)-13.5 ✓ / 54 U
1311/22@NC State-1.653%L 11-21 (5-6)-7.0 ✗ / 58 U
1411/29@Florida+0.250%L 21-40 (5-7)-1.5 ✗ / 48 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG23.029.9+6.9
Offense YPG408.2445.3+37.0
Offense YPP6.206.92+0.72
Defense PPG23.522.6-0.9
Defense YPG334.1332.0-2.1
Defense YPP5.375.08-0.28

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.951
Median (Current)+2.651
Mean (Historical)+1.362
Median (Historical)+1.561

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Florida State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-7 Expected: 7.1 wins Culture Factor: -2.1 (Underperforming)
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.1%
3-9
0.9%
4-8
3.8%
5-7
10.6%
6-6
19.7%
7-5
24.9%
8-4
21.6%
9-3
12.6%
10-2
4.7%
11-1
1.0%
12-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
5
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.0%
3-9
0.0%
4-8
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Florida State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Florida State do with another team's schedule?