NC State

#54 8-5 ACC
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+2.6
Rank #54
Offense (Adj PPG)
30.3
Rank #35
Defense (Adj PPG)
27.0
Rank #68
Actual Record
8-5
All games played
Final Record
8-5
Season complete
Expected Wins
6.4
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/28vsEast Carolina+0.250%W 24-17 (1-0)-12.5 ✗ / 58 U
209/06vsVirginia+2.945%W 35-31 (2-0)-3.0 ✓ / 53 O
309/11@Wake Forest+1.647%W 34-24 (3-0)-7.5 ✓ / 52 O
409/20@Duke+4.143%L 33-45 (3-1)+3.0 ✗ / 58 O
509/27vsVirginia Tech-11.669%L 21-23 (3-2)-10.0 ✗ / 58 U
610/04vsCampbell--W 56-10 (4-2)-42.5 ✓ / 62 O
710/11@#4 Notre Dame+24.810%L 7-36 (4-3)+23.5 ✗ / 60 U
8IDLE
910/25@Pittsburgh+7.638%L 34-53 (4-4)+5.5 ✗ / 52 O
1011/01vsGeorgia Tech-1.252%W 48-36 (5-4)+4.5 ✓ / 58 O
11IDLE
1211/15@#6 Miami+21.515%L 7-41 (5-5)+16.5 ✗ / 54 U
1311/22vsFlorida State+1.647%W 21-11 (6-5)+7.0 ✓ / 58 U
1411/30vsNorth Carolina-15.375%W 42-19 (7-5)-7.0 ✓ / 48 O
POST12/19vsMemphis-0.551%W 31-7 (8-5)-6.0 ✓ / 56 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG26.430.3+3.9
Offense YPG339.2395.8+56.5
Offense YPP5.626.25+0.63
Defense PPG28.227.0-1.2
Defense YPG434.5412.2-22.3
Defense YPP6.416.08-0.33

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+5.129
Median (Current)+4.734
Mean (Historical)+4.247
Median (Historical)+7.122

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If NC State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 8-5 Expected: 6.4 wins Culture Factor: +1.6 (Winners Win)
0-13
0.0%
1-12
0.1%
2-11
0.5%
3-10
2.8%
4-9
8.7%
5-8
17.3%
6-7
23.8%
7-6
22.3%
8-5
15.0%
9-4
6.9%
10-3
2.1%
11-2
0.4%
12-1
0.0%
13-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
8
4-9
0.0%
5-8
0.0%
6-7
0.0%
7-6
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game NC State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would NC State do with another team's schedule?