
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsDuquesne | - | - | W 61-9 (1-0) | -39.5 ✓ / 58 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsCentral Michigan | -19.2 | 81% | W 45-17 (2-0) | -21.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @West Virginia | -11.8 | 69% | L 24-31 (2-1) | -6.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 09/27 | vsLouisville | -0.9 | 51% | L 27-34 (2-2) | +3.0 ✗ / 54 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | vsBoston College | -20.2 | 82% | W 48-7 (3-2) | -6.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 7 | 10/11 | @Florida State | +3.2 | 45% | W 34-31 (4-2) | +10.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | @Syracuse | -17.4 | 78% | W 30-13 (5-2) | -9.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsNC State | -7.6 | 62% | W 53-34 (6-2) | -5.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Stanford | -10.7 | 67% | W 35-20 (7-2) | -13.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | vs#4 Notre Dame | +15.7 | 25% | L 15-37 (7-3) | +12.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 13 | 11/23 | @Georgia Tech | -0.8 | 51% | W 42-28 (8-3) | +2.5 ✓ / 62 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vs#6 Miami | +12.1 | 31% | L 7-38 (8-4) | +6.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| POST | 12/27 | @East Carolina | -0.4 | 51% | L 17-23 (8-5) | -13.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 29.1 | 33.5 | +4.4 |
| Offense YPG | 361.1 | 379.4 | +18.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.48 | 5.97 | +0.49 |
| Defense PPG | 28.0 | 25.4 | -2.6 |
| Defense YPG | 351.6 | 338.7 | -12.9 |
| Defense YPP | 5.52 | 5.00 | -0.51 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +2.5 | 57 |
| Median (Current) | +3.4 | 44 |
| Mean (Historical) | +5.5 | 28 |
| Median (Historical) | +5.0 | 38 |
If Pittsburgh replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Pittsburgh isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Pittsburgh do with another team's schedule?