Wake Forest

#58 9-4 ACC
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+1.9
Rank #58
Offense (Adj PPG)
24.5
Rank #73
Defense (Adj PPG)
22.2
Rank #41
Actual Record
9-4
All games played
Final Record
9-4
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.4
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/29vsKennesaw State-6.360%W 10-9 (1-0)-17.5 ✗ / 52 U
209/06vsWestern Carolina--W 42-10 (2-0)-17.5 ✓ / 60 U
309/11vsNC State-1.653%L 24-34 (2-1)+7.5 ✗ / 52 O
4IDLE
509/27vsGeorgia Tech+0.250%L 29-30 (2-2)+13.5 ✓ / 54 O
610/04@Virginia Tech-4.657%W 30-23 (3-2)+4.5 ✓ / 52 O
710/11@Oregon State-11.769%W 39-14 (4-2)-1.5 ✓ / 48 O
8IDLE
910/25vs#21 SMU+5.741%W 13-12 (5-2)+5.5 ✓ / 52 U
1011/01@Florida State+7.638%L 7-42 (5-3)+12.5 ✗ / 50 U
1111/09@Virginia+7.538%W 16-9 (6-3)+7.0 ✓ / 48 U
1211/15vsNorth Carolina-13.071%W 28-12 (7-3)-3.5 ✓ / 38 O
1311/22vsDelaware-16.877%W 52-14 (8-3)-17.5 ✓ / 50 O
1411/29@Duke+4.443%L 32-49 (8-4)+2.5 ✗ / 54 O
POST01/03@Mississippi State+2.047%W 43-29 (9-4)+3.0 ✓ / 52 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG28.824.5-4.3
Offense YPG391.4368.7-22.6
Offense YPP6.225.90-0.33
Defense PPG22.622.2-0.4
Defense YPG342.5325.2-17.3
Defense YPP5.134.81-0.33

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-0.273
Median (Current)+1.862
Mean (Historical)-0.269
Median (Historical)+1.859

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Wake Forest replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 9-4 Expected: 7.4 wins Culture Factor: +1.6 (Winners Win)
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.1%
3-10
0.8%
4-9
3.2%
5-8
8.8%
6-7
16.6%
7-6
23.0%
8-5
22.0%
9-4
15.3%
10-3
7.3%
11-2
2.3%
12-1
0.4%
13-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
9
5-8
0.0%
6-7
0.0%
7-6
0.0%
8-5
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Wake Forest isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Wake Forest do with another team's schedule?