| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsCoastal Carolina | -26.1 | 92% | W 48-7 (1-0) | -12.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @NC State | -2.9 | 55% | L 31-35 (1-1) | +3.0 ✗ / 53 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsWilliam & Mary | - | - | W 55-16 (2-1) | -30.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsStanford | -15.2 | 74% | W 48-20 (3-1) | -16.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 5 | 09/26 | vsFlorida State | -3.1 | 55% | W 46-38 (4-1) | +7.0 ✓ / 60 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @Louisville | +3.2 | 45% | W 30-27 (5-1) | +6.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | vsWashington State | -5.6 | 59% | W 22-20 (6-1) | -16.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | @North Carolina | -13.5 | 72% | W 17-16 (7-1) | -12.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | @California | -10.3 | 66% | W 31-21 (8-1) | -6.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 11 | 11/09 | vsWake Forest | -7.5 | 62% | L 9-16 (8-2) | -7.0 ✗ / 48 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | @Duke | -1.9 | 53% | W 34-17 (9-2) | +5.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 13 | IDLE | |||||
| 14 | 11/30 | vsVirginia Tech | -15.7 | 75% | W 27-7 (10-2) | -9.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 15 | 12/07 | vsDuke | -6.9 | 61% | L 20-27 (10-3) | -3.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| POST | 12/28 | @Missouri | +6.0 | 40% | W 13-7 (11-3) | +4.0 ✓ / 44 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 21.6 | 29.4 | +7.8 |
| Offense YPG | 362.0 | 399.0 | +37.0 |
| Offense YPP | 5.15 | 5.69 | +0.53 |
| Defense PPG | 16.4 | 21.3 | +4.9 |
| Defense YPG | 263.0 | 324.4 | +61.4 |
| Defense YPP | 4.52 | 5.06 | +0.54 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +0.4 | 71 |
| Median (Current) | +2.6 | 50 |
| Mean (Historical) | +0.4 | 67 |
| Median (Historical) | +1.3 | 62 |
If Virginia replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Virginia isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Virginia do with another team's schedule?