Iowa State

#30 8-4 Big 12
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+7.0
Rank #30 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
27.5
Rank #54
Defense (Adj PPG)
20.8
Rank #30
Actual Record
8-4
All games played
Final Record
8-4
Season complete
Expected Wins
6.9
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/23@Kansas State+2.746%W 24-21 (1-0)+2.5 ✓ / 52 U
108/30vsSouth Dakota--W 55-7 (2-0)-16.5 ✓ / 48 O
209/06vs#16 Iowa+7.538%W 16-13 (3-0)-1.5 ✓
309/13@Arkansas State-13.672%W 24-16 (4-0)-21.0 ✗ / 56 U
4IDLE
509/27vs#18 Arizona+2.846%W 39-14 (5-0)-4.0 ✓ / 48 O
610/04@Cincinnati-1.152%L 30-38 (5-1)+1.5 ✗ / 56 O
710/11@Colorado-8.764%L 17-24 (5-2)-3.0 ✗ / 52 U
8IDLE
910/25vs#11 BYU+5.641%L 27-41 (5-3)-2.5 ✗ / 48 O
1011/01vsArizona State-3.355%L 19-24 (5-4)-7.5 ✗ / 48 U
1111/08@TCU+2.446%W 20-17 (6-4)+7.5 ✓ / 58 U
12IDLE
1311/22vsKansas-6.560%W 38-14 (7-4)-3.0 ✓ / 56 U
1411/29@Oklahoma State-17.378%W 20-13 (8-4)-13.5 ✗ / 48 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG26.227.5+1.3
Offense YPG396.9401.3+4.4
Offense YPP5.845.89+0.06
Defense PPG23.120.8-2.4
Defense YPG374.8379.2+4.5
Defense YPP6.025.70-0.32

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+3.841
Median (Current)+5.822
Mean (Historical)+4.051
Median (Historical)+5.036

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Iowa State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 8-4 Expected: 6.9 wins Culture Factor: +1.1 (Winners Win)
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.2%
3-9
1.4%
4-8
5.1%
5-7
12.2%
6-6
20.6%
7-5
24.1%
8-4
20.2%
9-3
11.1%
10-2
4.1%
11-1
0.9%
12-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
8
4-8
0.0%
5-7
0.0%
6-6
0.0%
7-5
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Iowa State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Iowa State do with another team's schedule?