
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/23 | @Kansas State | +2.7 | 46% | W 24-21 (1-0) | +2.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 1 | 08/30 | vsSouth Dakota | - | - | W 55-7 (2-0) | -16.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vs#16 Iowa | +7.5 | 38% | W 16-13 (3-0) | -1.5 ✓ |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Arkansas State | -13.6 | 72% | W 24-16 (4-0) | -21.0 ✗ / 56 U |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 09/27 | vs#18 Arizona | +2.8 | 46% | W 39-14 (5-0) | -4.0 ✓ / 48 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @Cincinnati | -1.1 | 52% | L 30-38 (5-1) | +1.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| 7 | 10/11 | @Colorado | -8.7 | 64% | L 17-24 (5-2) | -3.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/25 | vs#11 BYU | +5.6 | 41% | L 27-41 (5-3) | -2.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsArizona State | -3.3 | 55% | L 19-24 (5-4) | -7.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | @TCU | +2.4 | 46% | W 20-17 (6-4) | +7.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 12 | IDLE | |||||
| 13 | 11/22 | vsKansas | -6.5 | 60% | W 38-14 (7-4) | -3.0 ✓ / 56 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | @Oklahoma State | -17.3 | 78% | W 20-13 (8-4) | -13.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 26.2 | 27.5 | +1.3 |
| Offense YPG | 396.9 | 401.3 | +4.4 |
| Offense YPP | 5.84 | 5.89 | +0.06 |
| Defense PPG | 23.1 | 20.8 | -2.4 |
| Defense YPG | 374.8 | 379.2 | +4.5 |
| Defense YPP | 6.02 | 5.70 | -0.32 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +3.8 | 41 |
| Median (Current) | +5.8 | 22 |
| Mean (Historical) | +4.0 | 51 |
| Median (Historical) | +5.0 | 36 |
If Iowa State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Iowa State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Iowa State do with another team's schedule?