BYU

#11 12-2 Big 12
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+14.4
Rank #11
Offense (Adj PPG)
32.7
Rank #24
Defense (Adj PPG)
17.5
Rank #12
Actual Record
12-2
All games played
Final Record
12-2
Season complete
Expected Wins
9.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/31vsPortland State--W 69-0 (1-0)-43.5 ✓ / 62 O
209/07vsStanford-21.885%W 27-3 (2-0)-20.5 ✓ / 44 U
3IDLE
409/20@East Carolina-7.161%W 34-13 (3-0)-6.5 ✓ / 50 U
509/28@Colorado-17.177%W 24-21 (4-0)-6.5 ✗ / 48 U
610/04vsWest Virginia-22.786%W 38-24 (5-0)-19.5 ✗ / 46 O
710/12@#18 Arizona-0.250%W 33-27 (6-0)-2.5 ✓ / 46 O
810/19vs#5 Utah+2.945%W 24-21 (7-0)+4.0 ✓ / 50 U
910/25@Iowa State-5.659%W 41-27 (8-0)+2.5 ✓ / 48 O
10IDLE
1111/08@#1 Texas Tech+15.825%L 7-29 (8-1)+13.5 ✗ / 50 U
1211/16vsTCU-11.068%W 44-13 (9-1)-3.0 ✓ / 52 O
1311/23@Cincinnati-9.766%W 26-14 (10-1)-2.5 ✓ / 56 U
1411/29vsUCF-19.281%W 41-21 (11-1)-17.5 ✓ / 46 O
1512/06@#1 Texas Tech+15.825%L 7-34 (11-2)+12.5 ✗ / 50 U
POST12/27vsGeorgia Tech-14.273%W 25-21 (12-2)-3.5 ✓ / 55 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG26.932.7+5.8
Offense YPG367.6397.6+30.0
Offense YPP5.696.22+0.53
Defense PPG22.517.5-5.0
Defense YPG380.1329.3-50.8
Defense YPP5.845.28-0.55

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+6.911
Median (Current)+4.930
Mean (Historical)+7.712
Median (Historical)+5.931

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If BYU replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 12-2 Expected: 9.0 wins Culture Factor: +3.0 (Winners Win)
2-12
0.0%
3-11
0.0%
4-10
0.3%
5-9
1.4%
6-8
4.7%
7-7
11.7%
8-6
20.0%
9-5
24.4%
10-4
20.7%
11-3
11.7%
12-2
4.2%
13-1
0.8%
14-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
12
8-6
0.0%
9-5
0.0%
10-4
0.0%
11-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game BYU isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would BYU do with another team's schedule?