| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsSoutheast Missouri State | - | - | W 42-24 (1-0) | -15.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Arkansas | +18.1 | 21% | L 14-56 (1-1) | +23.5 ✗ / 62 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsIowa State | +13.6 | 28% | L 16-24 (1-2) | +21.0 ✓ / 56 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | @Kennesaw State | +11.4 | 32% | L 21-28 (1-3) | -4.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | @UL Monroe | -6.7 | 61% | L 16-28 (1-4) | +1.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 6 | 10/04 | vsTexas State | +7.2 | 38% | W 31-30 (2-4) | +14.0 ✓ / 64 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/14 | @South Alabama | +3.2 | 45% | W 15-14 (3-4) | +8.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsGeorgia Southern | -2.9 | 55% | W 34-24 (4-4) | +1.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 10 | 11/02 | @Troy | +6.6 | 39% | W 23-10 (5-4) | +7.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | vsSouthern Miss | +1.5 | 48% | L 21-27 (5-5) | +6.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 12 | IDLE | |||||
| 13 | 11/21 | vsLouisiana | -1.5 | 52% | L 30-34 (5-6) | -2.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | @App State | +2.3 | 46% | W 30-29 (6-6) | +1.0 ✓ / 54 O |
| POST | 12/19 | vsMissouri State | +0.0 | 50% | W 34-28 (7-6) | -1.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.2 | 18.6 | -8.7 |
| Offense YPG | 404.0 | 334.3 | -69.7 |
| Offense YPP | 5.52 | 4.67 | -0.86 |
| Defense PPG | 24.5 | 28.9 | +4.4 |
| Defense YPG | 370.9 | 404.6 | +33.7 |
| Defense YPP | 5.38 | 6.05 | +0.66 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -4.6 | 109 |
| Median (Current) | -5.5 | 108 |
| Mean (Historical) | -4.6 | 102 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.8 | 101 |
If Arkansas State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Arkansas State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Arkansas State do with another team's schedule?