TCU

#30 9-4 Big 12
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+7.0
Rank #30 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
31.0
Rank #30
Defense (Adj PPG)
24.0
Rank #52
Actual Record
9-4
All games played
Final Record
9-4
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
109/02@North Carolina-13.171%W 48-14 (1-0)-3.0 ✓ / 60 O
2IDLE
309/14vsAbilene Christian--W 42-21 (2-0)-42.5 ✗ / 60 O
409/20vs#21 SMU+1.448%W 35-24 (3-0)-6.5 ✓ / 64 U
509/27@Arizona State+1.947%L 24-27 (3-1)+2.5 ✗ / 54 U
610/04vsColorado-14.573%W 35-21 (4-1)-13.5 ✓ / 58 U
710/11@Kansas State+2.746%L 28-41 (4-2)-3.0 ✗ / 54 O
810/18vsBaylor-9.465%W 42-36 (5-2)-3.5 ✓ / 66 O
910/25@West Virginia-10.166%W 23-17 (6-2)-16.5 ✗ / 56 U
10IDLE
1111/08vsIowa State-2.454%L 17-20 (6-3)-7.5 ✗ / 58 U
1211/16@#11 BYU+11.032%L 13-44 (6-4)+3.0 ✗ / 52 O
1311/22@Houston-0.250%W 17-14 (7-4)-1.5 ✓ / 56 U
1411/29vsCincinnati-5.459%W 45-23 (8-4)-3.0 ✓ / 58 O
POST12/31vs#13 USC+6.639%W 30-27 (9-4)+4.5 ✓ / 56 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG26.931.0+4.1
Offense YPG394.9402.0+7.2
Offense YPP5.796.11+0.33
Defense PPG27.824.0-3.8
Defense YPG367.5358.6-8.9
Defense YPP5.425.45+0.03

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+4.237
Median (Current)+5.327
Mean (Historical)+4.049
Median (Historical)+4.441

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If TCU replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 9-4 Expected: 7.5 wins Culture Factor: +1.5 (Winners Win)
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.1%
3-10
0.7%
4-9
3.0%
5-8
8.4%
6-7
16.2%
7-6
22.0%
8-5
22.4%
9-4
15.9%
10-3
8.0%
11-2
2.6%
12-1
0.5%
13-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
9
5-8
0.0%
6-7
0.0%
7-6
0.0%
8-5
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game TCU isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would TCU do with another team's schedule?