| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/31 | vsNorthern Arizona | - | - | W 38-19 (1-0) | -29.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Mississippi State | -1.2 | 52% | L 20-24 (1-1) | -6.0 ✗ / 58 U |
| 3 | 09/14 | vsTexas State | -11.3 | 68% | W 34-15 (2-1) | -18.5 ✓ / 62 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | @Baylor | -3.3 | 55% | W 27-24 (3-1) | +3.0 ✓ / 60 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsTCU | -1.9 | 53% | W 27-24 (4-1) | -2.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/12 | @#5 Utah | +16.5 | 24% | L 10-42 (4-2) | +9.5 ✗ / 44 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | vs#1 Texas Tech | +17.8 | 21% | W 26-22 (5-2) | +7.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 9 | 10/26 | vsHouston | -4.3 | 57% | L 16-24 (5-3) | -7.0 ✗ / 46 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Iowa State | +3.3 | 45% | W 24-19 (6-3) | +7.5 ✓ / 48 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | vsWest Virginia | -13.2 | 71% | W 25-23 (7-3) | -10.0 ✗ / 46 O |
| 13 | 11/23 | @Colorado | -7.5 | 62% | W 42-17 (8-3) | -7.0 ✓ / 48 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vs#18 Arizona | +2.9 | 45% | L 7-23 (8-4) | +2.0 ✗ / 48 U |
| POST | 12/31 | @Duke | +0.8 | 49% | L 39-42 (8-5) | +4.0 ✓ / 50 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.6 | 24.8 | +1.2 |
| Offense YPG | 390.8 | 381.8 | -8.9 |
| Offense YPP | 5.69 | 5.72 | +0.03 |
| Defense PPG | 26.5 | 19.1 | -7.4 |
| Defense YPG | 377.6 | 315.2 | -62.4 |
| Defense YPP | 5.34 | 5.08 | -0.26 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +5.9 | 18 |
| Median (Current) | +4.6 | 35 |
| Mean (Historical) | +7.0 | 14 |
| Median (Historical) | +6.9 | 24 |
If Arizona State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Arizona State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Arizona State do with another team's schedule?