| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | vsNebraska | -2.6 | 54% | L 17-20 (0-1) | +6.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsBowling Green | -19.5 | 81% | W 34-20 (1-1) | -21.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsNorthwestern State | - | - | W 70-0 (2-1) | -48.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 09/27 | @Kansas | +2.2 | 47% | W 37-34 (3-1) | +5.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | vsIowa State | +1.1 | 48% | W 38-30 (4-1) | -1.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 7 | 10/11 | vsUCF | -9.0 | 64% | W 20-11 (5-1) | -10.0 ✗ / 56 U |
| 8 | 10/19 | @Oklahoma State | -15.8 | 75% | W 49-17 (6-1) | -23.5 ✓ / 58 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsBaylor | -7.1 | 61% | W 41-20 (7-1) | -3.5 ✓ / 68 U |
| 10 | 11/02 | @#5 Utah | +21.0 | 16% | L 14-45 (7-2) | +11.5 ✗ / 58 O |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | vs#18 Arizona | +5.7 | 41% | L 24-30 (7-3) | -6.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 13 | 11/23 | vs#11 BYU | +9.7 | 34% | L 14-26 (7-4) | +2.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | @TCU | +5.4 | 41% | L 23-45 (7-5) | +3.0 ✗ / 58 O |
| POST | 01/02 | vsNavy | -6.1 | 60% | L 13-35 (7-6) | +7.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 24.8 | 29.7 | +5.0 |
| Offense YPG | 363.4 | 408.1 | +44.8 |
| Offense YPP | 6.31 | 6.88 | +0.58 |
| Defense PPG | 28.6 | 25.6 | -3.1 |
| Defense YPG | 403.6 | 416.5 | +12.8 |
| Defense YPP | 5.55 | 5.78 | +0.23 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +3.2 | 49 |
| Median (Current) | +1.9 | 61 |
| Mean (Historical) | +5.7 | 22 |
| Median (Historical) | +8.3 | 17 |
If Cincinnati replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Cincinnati isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Cincinnati do with another team's schedule?