| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | vsWestern Michigan | -4.6 | 57% | W 23-6 (1-0) | -18.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsBoston College | -11.1 | 68% | W 42-40 (2-0) | -3.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsYoungstown State | - | - | W 41-24 (3-0) | -23.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| 4 | 09/21 | @#13 USC | +19.4 | 19% | L 31-45 (3-1) | +18.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/04 | @Nebraska | +6.9 | 39% | L 27-38 (3-2) | +12.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 7 | 10/11 | vsUCLA | -5.7 | 59% | L 13-38 (3-3) | -7.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | @#3 Indiana | +34.5 | 0% | L 13-38 (3-4) | +26.5 ✓ / 50 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | vs#25 Michigan | +11.2 | 32% | L 20-31 (3-5) | +13.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Minnesota | +1.1 | 48% | L 20-23 (3-6) | +4.5 ✓ / 44 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | vs#22 Penn State | +11.2 | 32% | L 10-28 (3-7) | +7.0 ✗ / 48 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @#16 Iowa | +19.6 | 19% | L 17-20 (3-8) | +17.5 ✓ / 43 U |
| 14 | 11/30 | vsMaryland | -4.2 | 57% | W 38-28 (4-8) | -4.0 ✓ / 50 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 19.8 | 27.2 | +7.5 |
| Offense YPG | 319.0 | 357.2 | +38.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.03 | 5.52 | +0.48 |
| Defense PPG | 30.5 | 27.9 | -2.6 |
| Defense YPG | 376.2 | 370.6 | -5.6 |
| Defense YPP | 6.02 | 5.87 | -0.15 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +4.4 | 33 |
| Median (Current) | +0.4 | 73 |
| Mean (Historical) | +6.2 | 20 |
| Median (Historical) | +6.9 | 25 |
If Michigan State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Michigan State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Michigan State do with another team's schedule?