| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsNew Mexico | -12.9 | 71% | W 34-17 (1-0) | -36.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @#15 Oklahoma | +6.6 | 39% | L 13-24 (1-1) | +3.0 ✗ / 48 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsCentral Michigan | -22.3 | 86% | W 63-3 (2-1) | -27.5 ✓ / 42 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | @Nebraska | -6.3 | 60% | W 30-27 (3-1) | -1.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/04 | vsWisconsin | -11.7 | 69% | W 24-10 (4-1) | -17.5 ✗ / 42 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | @#13 USC | +5.2 | 42% | L 13-31 (4-2) | +3.0 ✗ / 58 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | vs#20 Washington | -2.0 | 53% | W 24-7 (5-2) | -4.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | @Michigan State | -11.2 | 68% | W 31-20 (6-2) | -13.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsPurdue | -19.5 | 81% | W 21-16 (7-2) | -21.0 ✗ / 48 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | @Northwestern | -5.8 | 59% | W 24-22 (8-2) | -10.0 ✗ / 42 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | @Maryland | -11.9 | 69% | W 45-20 (9-2) | -14.0 ✓ / 46 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vs#2 Ohio State | +13.5 | 28% | L 9-27 (9-3) | +9.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| POST | 12/31 | @#22 Texas | +3.2 | 45% | L 27-41 (9-4) | +7.0 ✗ / 50 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 24.2 | 31.2 | +6.9 |
| Offense YPG | 372.2 | 426.6 | +54.3 |
| Offense YPP | 5.83 | 6.59 | +0.76 |
| Defense PPG | 23.0 | 18.6 | -4.4 |
| Defense YPG | 343.5 | 316.0 | -27.5 |
| Defense YPP | 5.37 | 4.71 | -0.66 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +4.3 | 36 |
| Median (Current) | +1.0 | 67 |
| Mean (Historical) | +5.1 | 39 |
| Median (Historical) | +0.3 | 69 |
If Michigan replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Michigan isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Michigan do with another team's schedule?