Minnesota

#74 8-5 Big Ten
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-1.5
Rank #74 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
23.2
Rank #89
Defense (Adj PPG)
25.0
Rank #59
Actual Record
8-5
All games played
Final Record
8-5
Season complete
Expected Wins
5.9
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/29vsBuffalo-12.971%W 23-10 (1-0)-16.5 ✗ / 46 U
209/06vsNorthwestern State--W 66-0 (2-0)-43.0 ✓ / 50 O
309/14@California+0.250%L 14-27 (2-1)-3.0 ✗ / 42 U
4IDLE
509/27vsRutgers-1.552%W 31-28 (3-1)-3.5 ✗ / 52 O
610/04@#2 Ohio State+29.62%L 3-42 (3-2)+23.5 ✗ / 42 O
710/11vsPurdue-6.060%W 27-20 (4-2)-7.5 ✗ / 50 U
810/18vsNebraska+2.845%W 24-6 (5-2)+7.0 ✓ / 48 U
910/25@#16 Iowa+19.818%L 3-41 (5-3)+7.5 ✗ / 40 O
1011/01vsMichigan State-1.152%W 23-20 (6-3)-4.5 ✗ / 44 U
11IDLE
1211/15@#7 Oregon+26.97%L 13-42 (6-4)+26.5 ✗ / 46 O
1311/22@Northwestern+6.939%L 35-38 (6-5)+4.0 ✓ / 41 O
1411/29vsWisconsin-0.250%W 17-7 (7-5)+2.5 ✓ / 38 U
POST12/26vsNew Mexico+0.849%W 20-17 (8-5)-1.5 ✓ / 44 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG20.223.2+3.0
Offense YPG223.1320.9+97.8
Offense YPP4.615.05+0.44
Defense PPG23.925.0+1.1
Defense YPG333.2371.6+38.3
Defense YPP6.115.90-0.21

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.755
Median (Current)+0.274
Mean (Historical)+4.744
Median (Historical)+1.066

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Minnesota replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 8-5 Expected: 5.9 wins Culture Factor: +2.1 (Winners Win)
0-13
0.0%
1-12
0.1%
2-11
1.1%
3-10
4.7%
4-9
12.5%
5-8
21.6%
6-7
25.0%
7-6
19.8%
8-5
10.5%
9-4
3.7%
10-3
0.8%
11-2
0.1%
12-1
0.0%
13-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
8
4-9
0.0%
5-8
0.0%
6-7
0.0%
7-6
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Minnesota isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Minnesota do with another team's schedule?