| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @Michigan State | +4.6 | 43% | L 6-23 (0-1) | +18.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vs#22 North Texas | +11.7 | 31% | L 30-33 (0-2) | +12.0 ✓ / 56 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Illinois | +13.7 | 28% | L 0-38 (0-3) | +27.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsToledo | +5.7 | 41% | W 14-13 (1-3) | +13.5 ✓ / 48 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsRhode Island | - | - | W 47-14 (2-3) | -7.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @Massachusetts | -24.2 | 89% | W 21-3 (3-3) | -12.5 ✓ / 46 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | vsBall State | -16.9 | 77% | W 42-0 (4-3) | -9.5 ✓ / 44 U |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/25 | @Miami (OH) | +0.2 | 50% | L 17-26 (4-4) | +2.5 ✗ / 40 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsCentral Michigan | -7.8 | 63% | W 24-21 (5-4) | -6.0 ✗ / 44 O |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/12 | vsOhio | -2.7 | 54% | W 17-13 (6-4) | -1.5 ✓ / 46 U |
| 13 | 11/19 | @Northern Illinois | -7.5 | 62% | W 35-19 (7-4) | -7.0 ✓ / 40 O |
| 14 | 11/26 | @Eastern Michigan | -6.2 | 60% | W 31-21 (8-4) | -10.0 P / 49 O |
| 15 | 12/06 | vsMiami (OH) | -4.8 | 58% | W 23-13 (9-4) | -2.5 ✓ / 44 U |
| POST | 12/19 | vsKennesaw State | -1.4 | 52% | W 41-6 (10-4) | -3.0 ✓ / 47 P |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 28.8 | 19.5 | -9.3 |
| Offense YPG | 378.9 | 321.5 | -57.3 |
| Offense YPP | 5.90 | 4.93 | -0.96 |
| Defense PPG | 14.9 | 22.0 | +7.1 |
| Defense YPG | 305.1 | 348.0 | +42.8 |
| Defense YPP | 5.31 | 5.48 | +0.17 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -4.6 | 110 |
| Median (Current) | -4.1 | 100 |
| Mean (Historical) | -6.6 | 116 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.8 | 125 |
If Western Michigan replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Western Michigan isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Western Michigan do with another team's schedule?