| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsNevada | -26.6 | 93% | W 46-11 (1-0) | -45.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsFlorida International | -23.7 | 88% | W 34-0 (2-0) | -42.0 ✗ / 54 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsVillanova | - | - | W 52-6 (3-0) | -46.5 ✗ / 58 O |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 09/27 | vs#7 Oregon | +8.7 | 36% | L 24-30 (3-1) | -4.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @UCLA | -14.0 | 73% | L 37-42 (3-2) | -24.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 7 | 10/11 | vsNorthwestern | -11.7 | 69% | L 21-22 (3-3) | -20.5 ✗ / 46 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | @#16 Iowa | +7.2 | 38% | L 24-25 (3-4) | +3.5 ✓ / 42 O |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/01 | @#2 Ohio State | +18.4 | 21% | L 14-38 (3-5) | +17.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| 11 | 11/08 | vs#3 Indiana | +15.5 | 25% | L 24-27 (3-6) | +13.5 ✓ / 50 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | @Michigan State | -11.2 | 68% | W 28-10 (4-6) | -7.0 ✓ / 48 U |
| 13 | 11/23 | vsNebraska | -11.6 | 69% | W 37-10 (5-6) | -7.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | @Rutgers | -12.5 | 70% | W 40-36 (6-6) | -14.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| POST | 12/27 | @Clemson | -4.1 | 57% | W 22-10 (7-6) | +2.5 ✓ / 48 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 26.2 | 33.5 | +7.3 |
| Offense YPG | 344.4 | 388.0 | +43.6 |
| Offense YPP | 5.72 | 6.12 | +0.41 |
| Defense PPG | 22.2 | 20.5 | -1.8 |
| Defense YPG | 342.8 | 337.1 | -5.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.75 | 5.51 | -0.24 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +4.8 | 30 |
| Median (Current) | +0.7 | 71 |
| Mean (Historical) | +5.3 | 32 |
| Median (Historical) | +3.7 | 45 |
If Penn State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Penn State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Penn State do with another team's schedule?