| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsMissouri State | -27.0 | 93% | W 73-13 (1-0) | -34.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsGeorgia Southern | -32.0 | 100% | W 59-20 (2-0) | -29.0 ✓ / 62 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Purdue | -18.4 | 80% | W 33-17 (3-0) | -20.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 4 | 09/21 | vsMichigan State | -19.4 | 81% | W 45-31 (4-0) | -18.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Illinois | -3.5 | 56% | L 32-34 (4-1) | -6.5 ✗ / 62 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/11 | vs#25 Michigan | -5.2 | 58% | W 31-13 (5-1) | -3.0 ✓ / 58 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | @#4 Notre Dame | +11.8 | 31% | L 24-34 (5-2) | +10.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/01 | @Nebraska | -9.2 | 65% | W 21-17 (6-2) | -4.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | vsNorthwestern | -13.6 | 72% | W 38-17 (7-2) | -14.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | vs#16 Iowa | +0.6 | 49% | W 26-21 (8-2) | -6.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @#7 Oregon | +11.6 | 31% | L 27-42 (8-3) | +10.5 ✗ / 60 O |
| 14 | 11/30 | vsUCLA | -22.9 | 87% | W 29-10 (9-3) | -21.0 ✗ / 59 U |
| POST | 12/31 | @TCU | -6.6 | 61% | L 27-30 (9-4) | -4.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.9 | 36.6 | +8.7 |
| Offense YPG | 394.8 | 471.5 | +76.7 |
| Offense YPP | 6.41 | 7.38 | +0.98 |
| Defense PPG | 23.0 | 20.6 | -2.4 |
| Defense YPG | 335.9 | 337.0 | +1.1 |
| Defense YPP | 5.66 | 5.55 | -0.10 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +3.8 | 42 |
| Median (Current) | +1.0 | 68 |
| Mean (Historical) | +7.8 | 11 |
| Median (Historical) | +9.8 | 5 |
If USC replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game USC isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would USC do with another team's schedule?