| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsMontana State | - | - | W 59-13 (1-0) | -28.0 ✓ / 56 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsOklahoma State | -38.0 | 100% | W 69-3 (2-0) | -28.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Northwestern | -16.2 | 76% | W 34-14 (3-0) | -25.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsOregon State | -37.8 | 100% | W 41-7 (4-0) | -33.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | @#22 Penn State | -8.7 | 64% | W 30-24 (5-0) | +4.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/11 | vs#3 Indiana | +4.8 | 42% | L 20-30 (5-1) | -7.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | @Rutgers | -23.5 | 88% | W 56-10 (6-1) | -17.5 ✓ / 62 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsWisconsin | -21.3 | 84% | W 21-7 (7-1) | -31.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/08 | @#16 Iowa | -3.4 | 55% | W 18-16 (8-1) | -4.5 ✗ / 42 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | vsMinnesota | -26.9 | 93% | W 42-13 (9-1) | -26.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | vs#13 USC | -11.6 | 69% | W 42-27 (10-1) | -10.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | @#20 Washington | -8.0 | 63% | W 26-14 (11-1) | -6.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| POST | 12/21 | vs#18 James Madison | -13.4 | 71% | W 51-34 (12-1) | -22.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| POST | 01/01 | @#1 Texas Tech | +6.9 | 39% | W 23-0 (13-1) | +1.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| POST | 01/10 | @#3 Indiana | +9.8 | 34% | L 22-56 (13-2) | +3.0 ✗ / 50 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 30.6 | 38.0 | +7.4 |
| Offense YPG | 702.0 | 458.9 | -243.1 |
| Offense YPP | 6.38 | 6.95 | +0.57 |
| Defense PPG | 20.9 | 14.3 | -6.6 |
| Defense YPG | 571.2 | 255.8 | -315.4 |
| Defense YPP | 5.18 | 4.29 | -0.89 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +7.1 | 9 |
| Median (Current) | +10.2 | 1 |
| Mean (Historical) | +5.6 | 24 |
| Median (Historical) | +8.6 | 12 |
If Oregon replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Oregon isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Oregon do with another team's schedule?