Ohio State

#2 12-2 Big Ten
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+23.0
Rank #2
Offense (Adj PPG)
35.1
Rank #13
Defense (Adj PPG)
7.8
Rank #1
Actual Record
12-2
All games played
Final Record
12-2
Season complete
Expected Wins
11.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vs#22 Texas-17.578%W 14-7 (1-0)-1.5 ✓ / 46 U
209/06vsGrambling--W 70-0 (2-0)-55.5 ✓ / 62 O
309/13vsOhio-32.3100%W 37-9 (3-0)-28.0 P / 49 U
4IDLE
509/27@#20 Washington-13.772%W 24-6 (4-0)-9.5 ✓ / 52 U
610/04vsMinnesota-29.698%W 42-3 (5-0)-23.5 ✓ / 42 O
710/11@Illinois-16.476%W 34-16 (6-0)-15.5 ✓ / 52 U
810/18@Wisconsin-19.681%W 34-0 (7-0)-24.5 ✓ / 42 U
9IDLE
1011/01vs#22 Penn State-18.479%W 38-14 (8-0)-17.5 ✓ / 46 O
1111/08@Purdue-29.297%W 34-10 (9-0)-29.5 ✗ / 50 U
1211/16vsUCLA-32.9100%W 48-10 (10-0)-33.5 ✓ / 46 O
1311/22vsRutgers-32.4100%W 42-9 (11-0)-29.0 ✓ / 54 U
1411/29@#25 Michigan-13.572%W 27-9 (12-0)-9.5 ✓ / 44 U
1512/07vs#3 Indiana-2.254%L 10-13 (12-1)-3.5 ✗ / 46 U
POST01/01vs#6 Miami-9.665%L 14-24 (12-2)-7.5 ✗ / 40 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG30.935.1+4.3
Offense YPG420.2432.7+12.4
Offense YPP6.666.77+0.12
Defense PPG11.17.8-3.3
Defense YPG214.6219.5+4.9
Defense YPP4.234.04-0.19

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+5.820
Median (Current)+8.39
Mean (Historical)+5.334
Median (Historical)+2.553

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Ohio State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 12-2 Expected: 11.7 wins Culture Factor: +0.3 (Neutral)
6-8
0.0%
7-7
0.1%
8-6
0.8%
9-5
4.2%
10-4
12.5%
11-3
24.8%
12-2
30.0%
13-1
21.0%
14-0
6.5%

Final Record

Final Wins
12
8-6
0.0%
9-5
0.0%
10-4
0.0%
11-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Ohio State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Ohio State do with another team's schedule?