| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @#22 Penn State | +26.6 | 7% | L 11-46 (0-1) | +45.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsSacramento State | - | - | W 20-17 (1-1) | -8.0 ✗ / 56 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsMiddle Tennessee | -4.7 | 58% | L 13-14 (1-2) | -9.0 ✗ / 50 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | @Western Kentucky | +9.4 | 35% | L 16-31 (1-3) | +8.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/05 | @Fresno State | +10.8 | 33% | L 17-20 (1-4) | +12.5 ✓ / 46 U |
| 7 | 10/12 | vsSan Diego State | +11.6 | 31% | L 10-44 (1-5) | +6.5 ✗ / 42 O |
| 8 | 10/19 | @New Mexico | +15.5 | 25% | L 22-24 (1-6) | +14.0 ✓ / 50 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsBoise State | +14.4 | 27% | L 3-24 (1-7) | +20.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/09 | @Utah State | +14.1 | 27% | L 14-51 (1-8) | +10.0 ✗ / 52 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | vsSan José State | -3.3 | 55% | W 55-10 (2-8) | +10.0 ✓ / 50 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | @Wyoming | +3.1 | 45% | W 13-7 (3-8) | +6.0 ✓ / 40 U |
| 14 | 11/30 | vsUNLV | +12.7 | 30% | L 17-42 (3-9) | +7.5 ✗ / 53 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 18.9 | 17.8 | -1.1 |
| Offense YPG | 286.8 | 299.5 | +12.8 |
| Offense YPP | 5.12 | 5.19 | +0.07 |
| Defense PPG | 27.8 | 29.3 | +1.5 |
| Defense YPG | 370.8 | 375.1 | +4.4 |
| Defense YPP | 5.96 | 5.98 | +0.03 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -1.4 | 81 |
| Median (Current) | -0.9 | 82 |
| Mean (Historical) | -1.3 | 77 |
| Median (Historical) | +0.4 | 68 |
If Nevada replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Nevada isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Nevada do with another team's schedule?