Northwestern

#62 7-6 Big Ten
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+1.0
Rank #62
Offense (Adj PPG)
24.0
Rank #79
Defense (Adj PPG)
20.8
Rank #30
Actual Record
7-6
All games played
Final Record
7-6
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30@Tulane+3.445%L 3-23 (0-1)+6.5 ✗ / 48 U
209/05vsWestern Illinois--W 42-7 (1-1)-30.5 ✓ / 48 O
309/13vs#7 Oregon+16.224%L 14-34 (1-2)+25.5 ✓ / 50 U
4IDLE
509/27vsUCLA-9.365%W 17-14 (2-2)-6.0 ✗ / 46 U
610/04vsUL Monroe-25.090%W 42-7 (3-2)-12.5 ✓ / 44 O
710/11@#22 Penn State+11.731%W 22-21 (4-2)+20.5 ✓ / 46 U
810/18vsPurdue-10.667%W 19-0 (5-2)-3.0 ✓ / 48 U
910/25@Nebraska+3.045%L 21-28 (5-3)+7.5 ✓ / 44 O
10IDLE
1111/08@#13 USC+13.628%L 17-38 (5-4)+14.5 ✗ / 54 O
1211/15vs#25 Michigan+5.841%L 22-24 (5-5)+10.0 ✓ / 42 O
1311/22vsMinnesota-6.961%W 38-35 (6-5)-4.0 ✗ / 41 O
1411/30@Illinois+8.437%L 13-20 (6-6)+7.0 P / 44 U
POST12/26vsCentral Michigan-13.772%W 34-7 (7-6)-13.5 ✓ / 44 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG23.224.0+0.8
Offense YPG313.5356.8+43.3
Offense YPP5.055.53+0.49
Defense PPG21.620.8-0.9
Defense YPG341.2341.2-0.1
Defense YPP6.055.69-0.36

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.756
Median (Current)+2.649
Mean (Historical)+1.661
Median (Historical)+3.249

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Northwestern replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 7-6 Expected: 7.0 wins Culture Factor: -0.0 (Neutral)
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.2%
3-10
1.1%
4-9
4.5%
5-8
11.6%
6-7
20.3%
7-6
24.1%
8-5
20.3%
9-4
11.9%
10-3
4.7%
11-2
1.2%
12-1
0.2%
13-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
7
3-10
0.0%
4-9
0.0%
5-8
0.0%
6-7
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Northwestern isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Northwestern do with another team's schedule?