SMU

#21 9-4 ACC
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+9.9
Rank #21
Offense (Adj PPG)
32.2
Rank #26
Defense (Adj PPG)
21.5
Rank #36
Actual Record
9-4
All games played
Final Record
9-4
Season complete
Expected Wins
8.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/31vsEast Texas A&M--W 42-13 (1-0)-51.0 ✗ / 65 U
209/06vsBaylor-13.972%L 45-48 (1-1)-3.0 ✗ / 66 O
309/13@Missouri State-16.376%W 28-10 (2-1)-29.5 ✗ / 60 U
409/20@TCU-1.452%L 24-35 (2-2)+6.5 ✗ / 64 U
5IDLE
610/04vsSyracuse-23.988%W 31-18 (3-2)-17.5 ✗ / 56 U
710/11vsStanford-17.879%W 34-10 (4-2)-19.5 ✓ / 56 U
810/18@Clemson-1.753%W 35-24 (5-2)+3.5 ✓ / 50 O
910/25@Wake Forest-5.759%L 12-13 (5-3)-5.5 ✗ / 52 U
1011/01vs#6 Miami+8.936%W 26-20 (6-3)+8.5 ✓ / 50 U
1111/08@Boston College-17.578%W 45-13 (7-3)-10.5 ✓ / 54 O
12IDLE
1311/22vsLouisville-4.357%W 38-6 (8-3)-4.0 ✓ / 50 U
1411/30@California-13.171%L 35-38 (8-4)-13.5 ✗ / 54 O
POST01/03vs#18 Arizona-0.851%W 24-19 (9-4)-2.5 ✓ / 56 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG31.132.2+1.0
Offense YPG416.6422.7+6.1
Offense YPP6.426.66+0.24
Defense PPG17.921.5+3.6
Defense YPG371.6382.3+10.7
Defense YPP5.235.41+0.17

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+1.563
Median (Current)+1.265
Mean (Historical)+1.759
Median (Historical)+2.255

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If SMU replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 9-4 Expected: 8.7 wins Culture Factor: +0.3 (Neutral)
2-11
0.0%
3-10
0.1%
4-9
0.5%
5-8
2.0%
6-7
6.1%
7-6
13.9%
8-5
22.0%
9-4
24.3%
10-3
18.8%
11-2
9.3%
12-1
2.7%
13-0
0.3%

Final Record

Final Wins
9
5-8
0.0%
6-7
0.0%
7-6
0.0%
8-5
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game SMU isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would SMU do with another team's schedule?