| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @#13 USC | +27.0 | 7% | L 13-73 (0-1) | +34.5 ✗ / 60 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Marshall | +4.7 | 43% | W 21-20 (1-1) | +7.0 ✓ / 54 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vs#21 SMU | +16.3 | 24% | L 10-28 (1-2) | +29.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsUT Martin | - | - | W 42-10 (2-2) | -14.0 ✓ / 56 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsWestern Kentucky | +0.7 | 49% | L 22-27 (2-3) | +3.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/08 | @Middle Tennessee | -3.8 | 56% | W 22-20 (3-3) | -2.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/23 | @New Mexico State | -3.7 | 56% | W 24-17 (4-3) | -2.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 10 | 10/30 | vsFlorida International | -2.4 | 54% | W 28-21 (5-3) | -3.0 ✓ / 50 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | @Liberty | +2.3 | 46% | W 21-17 (6-3) | +7.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | vsUTEP | -10.8 | 67% | W 38-24 (7-3) | -6.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | @Kennesaw State | +9.2 | 35% | L 34-41 (7-4) | +6.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsLouisiana Tech | +3.5 | 44% | L 30-42 (7-5) | -2.5 ✗ / 45 O |
| POST | 12/19 | @Arkansas State | -0.0 | 50% | L 28-34 (7-6) | +1.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 28.1 | 21.4 | -6.8 |
| Offense YPG | 364.6 | 340.7 | -23.9 |
| Offense YPP | 6.15 | 5.78 | -0.37 |
| Defense PPG | 27.0 | 29.4 | +2.4 |
| Defense YPG | 352.2 | 394.1 | +41.8 |
| Defense YPP | 5.65 | 6.11 | +0.46 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -3.8 | 100 |
| Median (Current) | -4.9 | 103 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.3 | 125 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.1 | 116 |
If Missouri State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Missouri State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Missouri State do with another team's schedule?