| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsEastern Kentucky | - | - | W 51-17 (1-0) | -37.5 ✗ / 58 O |
| 2 | 09/05 | vs#18 James Madison | +1.1 | 48% | W 28-14 (2-0) | -15.0 ✗ / 57 U |
| 3 | IDLE | |||||
| 4 | 09/20 | vsBowling Green | -23.0 | 87% | W 40-17 (3-0) | -26.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Pittsburgh | +0.9 | 49% | W 34-27 (4-0) | -3.0 ✓ / 54 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | vsVirginia | -3.2 | 55% | L 27-30 (4-1) | -6.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/17 | @#6 Miami | +15.0 | 26% | W 24-21 (5-1) | +10.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsBoston College | -20.0 | 82% | W 38-24 (6-1) | -25.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Virginia Tech | -11.4 | 68% | W 28-16 (7-1) | -10.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 11 | 11/09 | vsCalifornia | -16.1 | 76% | L 26-29 (7-2) | -18.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | vsClemson | -4.9 | 58% | L 19-20 (7-3) | -1.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @#21 SMU | +4.3 | 43% | L 6-38 (7-4) | +4.0 ✗ / 50 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsKentucky | -9.5 | 65% | W 41-0 (8-4) | -1.0 ✓ / 46 U |
| POST | 12/23 | vsToledo | -3.9 | 56% | W 27-22 (9-4) | -12.5 ✗ / 44 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 26.1 | 29.5 | +3.4 |
| Offense YPG | 363.2 | 391.2 | +27.9 |
| Offense YPP | 6.04 | 6.28 | +0.24 |
| Defense PPG | 21.2 | 20.8 | -0.4 |
| Defense YPG | 332.4 | 316.1 | -16.3 |
| Defense YPP | 5.08 | 5.01 | -0.08 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +2.9 | 52 |
| Median (Current) | +5.7 | 24 |
| Mean (Historical) | +2.0 | 57 |
| Median (Historical) | +2.1 | 56 |
If Louisville replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Louisville isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Louisville do with another team's schedule?