| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/31 | @Oregon State | -6.2 | 60% | W 34-15 (1-0) | +3.0 ✓ / 52 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsTexas Southern | - | - | W 35-3 (2-0) | -44.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 3 | 09/14 | vsMinnesota | -0.2 | 50% | W 27-14 (3-0) | +3.0 ✓ / 42 U |
| 4 | 09/21 | @San Diego State | +11.0 | 32% | L 0-34 (3-1) | -14.0 ✗ / 48 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Boston College | -1.8 | 53% | W 28-24 (4-1) | +6.0 ✓ / 54 U |
| 6 | 10/05 | vsDuke | +7.2 | 38% | L 21-45 (4-2) | +3.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | vsNorth Carolina | -6.8 | 61% | W 21-18 (5-2) | -7.5 ✗ / 46 U |
| 9 | 10/24 | @Virginia Tech | +2.2 | 47% | L 34-42 (5-3) | +6.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsVirginia | +10.3 | 34% | L 21-31 (5-4) | +6.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 11 | 11/09 | @Louisville | +16.1 | 24% | W 29-26 (6-4) | +18.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 12 | IDLE | |||||
| 13 | 11/23 | @Stanford | +1.8 | 47% | L 10-31 (6-5) | -4.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 14 | 11/30 | vs#21 SMU | +13.1 | 29% | W 38-35 (7-5) | +13.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| POST | 12/25 | @Hawai'i | +5.6 | 41% | L 31-35 (7-6) | +1.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 25.6 | 24.7 | -1.0 |
| Offense YPG | 354.6 | 344.1 | -10.5 |
| Offense YPP | 5.29 | 5.14 | -0.15 |
| Defense PPG | 32.9 | 29.4 | -3.5 |
| Defense YPG | 394.6 | 378.6 | -16.1 |
| Defense YPP | 5.81 | 5.78 | -0.03 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -0.8 | 77 |
| Median (Current) | -1.0 | 83 |
| Mean (Historical) | -1.2 | 75 |
| Median (Historical) | -3.4 | 89 |
If California replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game California isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would California do with another team's schedule?