BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Bowling Green 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Bowling Green 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
20.82 |
17.22 (-3.60) |
25.27 |
21.43 (-3.84) |
21.43 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
329.09 |
307.12 (-21.97) |
309.82 |
282.95 (-26.87) |
282.95 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.03 |
4.68 (-0.34) |
5.21 |
4.77 (-0.44) |
4.77 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.91 |
35.71 (+4.80) |
24.27 |
29.59 (+5.32) |
29.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
418.73 |
454.65 (+35.92) |
320.73 |
374.14 (+53.42) |
374.14 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.79 |
6.49 (+0.70) |
5.43 |
6.07 (+0.64) |
6.07 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Liberty |
24.47 |
43.46 |
+18.99 |
67.93 |
19.54% |
L 24-34 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-15 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Michigan |
5.93 |
49.54 |
+43.60 |
55.47 |
0.10% |
L 6-31 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Ohio |
20.97 |
18.15 |
-2.81 |
39.12 |
54.51% |
L 7-38 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Georgia Tech |
23.59 |
38.40 |
+14.81 |
62.00 |
26.24% |
W 38-27 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Miami (OH) |
17.82 |
21.31 |
+3.49 |
39.13 |
44.40% |
L 0-27 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Buffalo |
28.04 |
20.11 |
-7.94 |
48.15 |
62.73% |
W 24-14 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Akron |
33.45 |
10.53 |
-22.92 |
43.99 |
86.76% |
W 41-14 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-01 |
Ball State |
26.24 |
11.49 |
-14.75 |
37.72 |
73.66% |
W 24-21 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-09 |
@Kent State |
39.85 |
12.53 |
-27.33 |
52.38 |
93.83% |
W 49-19 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-15 |
Toledo |
25.59 |
28.24 |
+2.65 |
53.83 |
45.75% |
L 31-32 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-22 |
@Western Michigan |
36.14 |
26.84 |
-9.30 |
62.97 |
64.92% |
W 34-10 |
7-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-26 |
@Minnesota |
21.61 |
30.07 |
+8.46 |
51.69 |
36.43% |
L 24-30 |
7-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.05% |
| 3-10 |
0.57% |
| 4-9 |
3.08% |
| 5-8 |
10.11% |
| 6-7 |
20.59% |
| 7-6 |
26.64% |
| 8-5 |
22.29% |
| 9-4 |
11.98% |
| 10-3 |
3.95% |
| 11-2 |
0.71% |
| 12-1 |
0.04% |