BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Bowling Green 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Bowling Green 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
20.82 |
17.22 (-3.60) |
25.27 |
21.41 (-3.86) |
21.41 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
329.09 |
307.12 (-21.97) |
309.82 |
283.90 (-25.92) |
283.90 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.03 |
4.68 (-0.34) |
5.21 |
4.76 (-0.44) |
4.76 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.91 |
35.71 (+4.80) |
24.27 |
29.78 (+5.50) |
29.78 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
418.73 |
454.65 (+35.92) |
320.73 |
376.16 (+55.43) |
376.16 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.79 |
6.49 (+0.70) |
5.43 |
6.09 (+0.66) |
6.09 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Liberty |
23.51 |
41.84 |
+18.33 |
65.35 |
20.61% |
L 24-34 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-15 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Michigan |
5.97 |
49.80 |
+43.83 |
55.77 |
0.10% |
L 6-31 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Ohio |
21.02 |
18.09 |
-2.93 |
39.11 |
54.70% |
L 7-38 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Georgia Tech |
23.43 |
38.57 |
+15.14 |
62.00 |
25.72% |
W 38-27 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Miami (OH) |
18.72 |
21.14 |
+2.41 |
39.86 |
46.13% |
L 0-27 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Buffalo |
28.21 |
20.19 |
-8.02 |
48.40 |
62.86% |
W 24-14 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Akron |
33.50 |
10.47 |
-23.03 |
43.98 |
86.94% |
W 41-14 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-01 |
Ball State |
26.16 |
11.48 |
-14.68 |
37.64 |
73.54% |
W 24-21 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-09 |
@Kent State |
39.90 |
12.44 |
-27.46 |
52.33 |
94.04% |
W 49-19 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-15 |
Toledo |
25.43 |
28.93 |
+3.50 |
54.36 |
44.39% |
L 31-32 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-22 |
@Western Michigan |
36.13 |
26.90 |
-9.23 |
63.03 |
64.81% |
W 34-10 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.07% |
| 3-9 |
0.77% |
| 4-8 |
4.24% |
| 5-7 |
13.33% |
| 6-6 |
24.51% |
| 7-5 |
27.90% |
| 8-4 |
19.47% |
| 9-3 |
7.90% |
| 10-2 |
1.65% |
| 11-1 |
0.14% |